HarrisDemocratic17.6%1,458TrumpRepublican79.7%6,598OtherAll other candidates2.7%224
R+62.1- Lead
- 5,140
- Total
- 8,280
- vs nation
- R+60.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Wyoming 15th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic17.3%1,485TrumpRepublican79.4%6,826OtherAll other candidates3.3%287
R+62.1- Lead
- 5,341
- Total
- 8,598
- vs nation
- R+66.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic14.4%1,112TrumpRepublican72.3%5,581OtherAll other candidates13.2%1,022
R+57.9- Lead
- 4,469
- Total
- 7,715
- vs nation
- R+60.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic19.5%1,520RomneyRepublican77.0%6,016OtherAll other candidates3.5%277
R+57.5- Lead
- 4,496
- Total
- 7,813
- vs nation
- R+61.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic28.2%2,172McCainRepublican68.1%5,242OtherAll other candidates3.7%282
R+39.9- Lead
- 3,070
- Total
- 7,696
- vs nation
- R+47.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic23.0%1,706BushRepublican74.8%5,545OtherAll other candidates2.2%165
R+51.8- Lead
- 3,839
- Total
- 7,416
- vs nation
- R+49.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic22.8%1,554BushRepublican73.2%4,992OtherAll other candidates4.1%277
R+50.4- Lead
- 3,438
- Total
- 6,823
- vs nation
- R+50.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic34.3%2,272DoleRepublican47.7%3,162OtherAll other candidates18.0%1,192
R+13.4- Lead
- 890
- Total
- 6,626
- vs nation
- R+22.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,9022024 5-year
- Population density
- 12 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,575 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $82,2992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 14, WY · twin score 96.7
presidential history
Party record book
Wyoming 15th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
66.0%
1,853 votes · D+32.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 65.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
79.7%
6,598 votes · R+62.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
2,272votes
34.3% of the vote · R+13.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,172 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
6,826votes
79.4% of the vote · R+62.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 6,598 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+37.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+31.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +20.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+66.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.1 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +61.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RWendy SchulerState Senate · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 16.2%1,203 | 83.8%6,236 | 7,439 |
| 2020 | R | 18.3%1,393 | 81.7%6,209 | 7,602 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+62.1, this sparsely populated district of under 19,000 residents sits among the most one-sided constituencies in the country, reflecting Wyoming's broader pattern of overwhelming rural Republican alignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 62.1 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 62.1 points.
A population of 18,902, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,299 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 14 and State Senate District 28.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 14
Wyoming
96.7twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ English ancestry
State Senate District 28
Idaho
94.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ population scale
State Senate District 19
Wyoming
94.7twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wyoming 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/56015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Wyoming at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Wyoming 15th State Senate District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Wyoming 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wyoming 15th State Senate District voted Republican by 62.1 points (R+62.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,280 votes cast, 1,458 went Democratic and 6,598 went Republican.
When did Wyoming 15th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wyoming 15th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Wyoming 15th State Senate District?
Wyoming 15th State Senate District has a population of 18,902 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wyoming 15th State Senate District?
Median household income in Wyoming 15th State Senate District is $82,299 — above the national median of $80,734. The Wyoming state median is $76,176.
What is the political history of Wyoming 15th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wyoming 15th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.