- Lead
- 19,189
- Total
- 27,821
- vs nation
- R+67.5
Idaho 31st State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 17,771
- Total
- 25,941
- vs nation
- R+73.0
- Lead
- 12,321
- Total
- 21,563
- vs nation
- R+63.9
- Lead
- 14,927
- Total
- 21,621
- vs nation
- R+72.9
- Lead
- 12,652
- Total
- 20,802
- vs nation
- R+68.1
- Lead
- 13,263
- Total
- 19,083
- vs nation
- R+67.0
- Lead
- 11,370
- Total
- 16,947
- vs nation
- R+67.6
- Lead
- 6,894
- Total
- 16,540
- vs nation
- R+50.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+69.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 53,0432024 5-year
- Population density
- 5.7 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 9,285 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,6052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77.8 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.5 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 28, ID · twin score 96.9
presidential history
Party record book
Idaho 31st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
88.9%
2,591 votes · D+77.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 66.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
84.1%
16,049 votes · R+69.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 83.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
7,600votes
66.3% of the vote · D+34.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 7,063 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
23,122votes
83.1% of the vote · R+69.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,503 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+83.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+77.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +18.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+73.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+68.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +72.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+68.9, this rural district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, where general-election outcomes are largely decided in the Republican primary.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.8 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 69.5 points in 2004. The 2024 margin was 69.0 points.
A population of 53,043, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,605 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 28 and State Senate District 27.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Idaho 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/16031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.