State Senate District 31 State Senate District (FL) — Elections 1876–2024

Florida 31st State Senate District, Florida: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+8%. Democratic peak: D+59 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 762,0572024 5-year
Median household income: $82,6262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 58.9%2024 5-year
Black: 15.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 22.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+59 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

3 counties · 1 D · 2 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−7.9%	178,539	209,527	391,157
2020	D	+2.7%	203,933	193,222	399,735
2016	D	+3.8%	173,702	160,619	342,703
2012	D	+6.4%	164,532	144,647	311,211
2008	D	+13.0%	172,265	132,444	306,628
2004	D	+11.0%	155,130	124,189	281,453
2000	D	+15.5%	129,003	93,605	228,033
1996	D	+13.5%	108,501	80,481	207,269
1992	D	+3.3%	85,384	78,457	207,811
1988	R	−21.1%	65,538	100,776	167,219
1984	R	−31.1%	52,349	99,711	152,080
1980	R	−25.6%	42,455	74,461	124,841
1976	R	−3.5%	45,130	48,446	95,239
1972	R	−48.0%	18,199	52,185	70,734
1968	R	−24.6%	15,068	28,455	54,452
1964	R	−6.1%	20,401	23,060	43,461
1960	R	−19.2%	14,110	20,819	34,928
1956	R	−41.2%	6,897	16,554	23,451
1952	R	−33.6%	6,566	13,199	19,765
1948	R	−6.1%	4,422	5,121	11,370
1944	D	+21.4%	5,230	3,389	8,619
1940	D	+24.7%	5,577	3,369	8,946
1936	D	+38.5%	4,501	1,999	6,500
1932	D	+34.3%	3,819	1,867	5,686
1928	R	−27.4%	1,528	2,737	4,411
1924	R	−2.4%	655	692	1,540
1920	R	−4.7%	699	778	1,675
1916	D	+35.5%	360	130	647
1912	D	+59.0%	214	18	332
1908	D	+50.0%	40	9	62
1904	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

Irish

9.3%

German

9.2%

Italian

8.6%

American

7.7%

English

7.6%

Polish

3.1%

French

1.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 47.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

1.6%

85+

2.2%

4.3%

75–84

5.2%

6.1%

65–74

7.0%

6.7%

55–64

7.2%

5.9%

45–54

6.0%

5.8%

35–44

5.6%

25–34

5.4%

3.7%

18–24

3.4%

6.9%

5–17

6.7%

2.4%

2.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$82,626

State Senate District 31 ranks near the middle of US counties.

State Senate District 31$82,626

Florida$74,568

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

11.4%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1816.1%

Working age (18–64)10.3%

Seniors (65+)10.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

70.5%

speak English only

Spanish17.9%

Other Indo-European9.3%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%

Other languages1.0%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

21.8%

Other Christian

9.4%

Baptist

3.5%

Non-Christian

2.5%

Mainline Protestant

2.0%

Methodist

1.6%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.4%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Florida 31st State Senate District in the Gulf South and peninsula has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Florida 31st State Senate District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Florida 31st State Senate District has rarely exceeded fifty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-eight points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by eight points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $82,626 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

State Senate District 31, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 31, Florida vote in 2024?

In 2024, State Senate District 31, Florida voted Republican by 7.9 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 391,157 votes cast, 178,539 went Democratic and 209,527 went Republican.

What is State Senate District 31, Florida's political archetype?

Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, Florida as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.

When did State Senate District 31, Florida last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 31, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in State Senate District 31, Florida?

State Senate District 31, Florida has a population of 762,057 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, Florida?

Median household income in State Senate District 31, Florida is $82,626 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.

What is the political history of State Senate District 31, Florida?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Florida 31st State Senate District delivered R+8 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

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Frequently asked questions