akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 29·California

California 29th State Senate District delivered R+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of California's most Republican-leaning state senate districts

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
26,685
2024 ACS

California 29th State Senate District, California: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
26,6852024 5-year
Median household income
$85,4782024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
32.9%2024 5-year
Black
7.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
55.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+38 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+51 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−2.1%
4,3984,5969,251
D
+10.7%
5,5374,44810,216
D
+10.7%
4,1403,2947,943
D
+7.3%
3,7063,1867,080
D
+6.3%
3,8353,3697,364
R
−11.8%
2,7673,5146,355
R
−1.5%
2,6082,6935,525
D
+0.8%
2,2272,1885,020
D
+1.5%
2,2302,1445,758
R
−21.4%
1,8352,8564,761
R
−30.8%
1,4142,6974,162
R
−28.0%
1,1152,1013,520
R
−1.6%
1,3321,3762,780
R
−24.2%
1,0441,7572,942
R
−10.1%
1,0861,3602,716
D
+14.3%
1,4941,1192,616
R
−4.5%
1,1041,2082,324
R
−14.1%
7891,0481,842
R
−14.9%
6638981,574
R
−0.9%
5555661,164
D
+6.1%
468414890
D
+10.2%
456371837
D
+20.5%
412270692
D
+5.6%
302268602
R
−50.5%
115355475
R
−47.5%
32194341
R
−34.7%
68152242
R
−10.8%
114145286
O
+38.2%
710186
R
−22.0%
3357109
R
−34.6%
194781
R
−12.3%
293873
R
−1.4%
333471
R
−15.2%
314592
R
−11.6%
293769
R
−11.1%
162036
O
+0.0%
9918
R
−6.3%
7816

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.4%
Irish
4.4%
English
4.3%
American
2.6%
Italian
2.2%
French
0.9%
Scottish
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
55.7%
speak English only
Spanish35.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander5.8%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.2%
Other Christian
11.2%
Baptist
3.1%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering inland Southern California, this district backed the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by over 21 points — a margin rarely seen in a state where Democrats dominate most legislative seats.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-eight points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty-one points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 26,685, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $85,478 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 29, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/06029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 29, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 29, California voted Republican by 2.1 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,251 votes cast, 4,398 went Democratic and 4,596 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 29, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 29, California as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 25 times, and other 2 times.
When did State Senate District 29, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 29, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 29, California?
State Senate District 29, California has a population of 26,685 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 29, California?
Median household income in State Senate District 29, California is $85,478 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of State Senate District 29, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 29, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.