- Lead
- 4,245
- Total
- 7,422
- vs nation
- R+55.7
West Virginia 15th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,961
- Total
- 7,679
- vs nation
- R+56.0
- Lead
- 3,638
- Total
- 7,076
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Lead
- 1,543
- Total
- 6,643
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Lead
- 904
- Total
- 7,276
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Lead
- 1,393
- Total
- 8,031
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Lead
- 1,303
- Total
- 7,368
- vs nation
- R+18.2
- Lead
- 519
- Total
- 6,821
- vs nation
- R+0.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,0372024 5-year
- Population density
- 27 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 664 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $45,9612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Delegate District 62, WV · twin score 99.1
presidential history
Party record book
West Virginia 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
58.2%
1,375 votes · D+18.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1884 · 55.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
77.5%
5,755 votes · R+57.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 74.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
6,594votes
54.8% of the vote · D+9.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 6,418 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
6,627votes
51.0% of the vote · R+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · 6,440 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+20.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+4.5 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +13.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +55.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Delegate District 15 recorded an R+57.2 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most heavily one-sided districts. Its roughly 18,000 residents reflect the deep rural realignment that has reshaped West Virginia legislative politics over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.2 points.
A population of 18,037, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,961 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Delegate District 62 and Delegate District 18.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
West Virginia 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/54015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.