- Lead
- 1,986
- Total
- 2,962
- vs nation
- D+68.5
Vermont Chittenden-12 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,070
- Total
- 3,031
- vs nation
- D+63.8
- Lead
- 1,466
- Total
- 2,582
- vs nation
- D+54.7
- Lead
- 1,204
- Total
- 2,394
- vs nation
- D+46.4
- Lead
- 1,388
- Total
- 2,599
- vs nation
- D+46.1
- Lead
- 789
- Total
- 2,359
- vs nation
- D+35.9
- Lead
- 473
- Total
- 2,113
- vs nation
- D+21.9
- Lead
- 595
- Total
- 1,867
- vs nation
- D+23.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+67.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,6272024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,493 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $118,6382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden-24 State House District, VT · twin score 99.4
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Chittenden-12 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
82.9%
2,513 votes · D+68.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 82.0%
Republican
William McKinley1896
75.4%
138 votes · R+51.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 70.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,513votes
82.9% of the vote · D+68.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,428 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
876votes
52.5% of the vote · R+5.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 793 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+68.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+67.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +63.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+45.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +28.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Chittenden-12 delivers presidential margins exceeding 60 points for Democrats, reflecting the dense, highly educated urban core it draws from in the Burlington metro — a profile that makes it among the most lopsided state house districts in the country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 51.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.0 points.
A population of 4,627, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,638 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden-24 State House District and Chittenden-9 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Chittenden-12 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50C12/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.