- Lead
- 403
- Total
- 8,209
- vs nation
- D+6.4
Rhode Island 45th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 859
- Total
- 8,019
- vs nation
- D+6.3
- Lead
- 363
- Total
- 7,053
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Lead
- 1,283
- Total
- 6,596
- vs nation
- D+15.6
- Lead
- 1,291
- Total
- 6,968
- vs nation
- D+11.3
- Lead
- 711
- Total
- 6,438
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Lead
- 1,360
- Total
- 6,033
- vs nation
- D+22.0
- Lead
- 1,570
- Total
- 5,892
- vs nation
- D+18.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,2642024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,150 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $119,0262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 52, RI · twin score 94.6
presidential history
Party record book
Rhode Island 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
78.3%
5,324 votes · D+56.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 60.0%
Republican
William McKinley1896
72.3%
904 votes · R+49.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 68.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
5,324votes
78.3% of the vote · D+56.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 4,580 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
5,256votes
64.0% of the vote · R+28.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 4,986 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+34.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+56.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +25.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+43.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +29.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 63.1%3,537 | 36.9%2,064 | 5,601 |
Rhode Island House District 45 leans Democratic but has shown enough swing to draw close contests, reflecting the mixed suburban and working-class composition typical of Providence County's inner-ring communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.9 points.
A population of 15,264, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $119,026 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 52 and State House District 44.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Rhode Island 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/44045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.