- Lead
- 1,660
- Total
- 9,498
- vs nation
- D+18.9
Rhode Island 31st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,459
- Total
- 9,155
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Lead
- 401
- Total
- 7,961
- vs nation
- D+2.9
- Lead
- 895
- Total
- 7,628
- vs nation
- D+7.9
- Lead
- 1,226
- Total
- 7,915
- vs nation
- D+8.2
- Lead
- 626
- Total
- 7,513
- vs nation
- D+10.8
- Lead
- 692
- Total
- 6,728
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Lead
- 889
- Total
- 6,052
- vs nation
- D+6.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,9712024 5-year
- Population density
- 614 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 24.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $115,3492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 67, RI · twin score 92.7
presidential history
Party record book
Rhode Island 31st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.5%
2,018 votes · D+37.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 56.8%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
75.0%
1,039 votes · R+53.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 74.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
5,376votes
56.6% of the vote · D+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 5,200 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
3,741votes
40.9% of the vote · D+15.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 3,716 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+18.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +14.5 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+53.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.1 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +46.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.1%5,008 | 39.9%3,323 | 8,331 |
Rhode Island House District 31 is a compact, densely populated district where the 2024 presidential margin of D+17.5 reflects voting patterns typical of urban New England constituencies with high residential density.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.5 points.
A population of 14,971, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $115,349 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 67 and State House District 32.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Rhode Island 31st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/44031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.