- Lead
- 462
- Total
- 7,491
- vs nation
- D+7.6
Rhode Island 15th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 433
- Total
- 9,056
- vs nation
- R+9.2
- Lead
- 1,184
- Total
- 8,168
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Lead
- 97
- Total
- 7,453
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Lead
- 113
- Total
- 7,865
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Lead
- 730
- Total
- 7,378
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Lead
- 242
- Total
- 6,735
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Lead
- 645
- Total
- 6,326
- vs nation
- D+1.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,3462024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,827 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $113,7272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, RI · twin score 91.8
presidential history
Party record book
Rhode Island 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.2%
4,994 votes · D+40.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 52.1%
Republican
William McKinley1896
81.5%
1,314 votes · R+65.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 79.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
4,994votes
70.2% of the vote · D+40.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 4,298 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
7,526votes
73.2% of the vote · R+46.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 7,138 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+17.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.4 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +7.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+59.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+65.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +45.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 63.2%3,556 | 36.8%2,075 | 5,631 |
Rhode Island 15th State House District sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 65.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.2 points.
A population of 15,346, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $113,727 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 41.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Rhode Island 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/44015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.