- Lead
- 96
- Total
- 2,756
- vs nation
- R+2.0
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 5
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 52
- Total
- 3,021
- vs nation
- R+6.2
- Lead
- 341
- Total
- 2,739
- vs nation
- R+14.5
- Lead
- 105
- Total
- 2,508
- vs nation
- R+8.0
- Lead
- 38
- Total
- 2,470
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Lead
- 83
- Total
- 2,331
- vs nation
- R+1.1
- Lead
- 120
- Total
- 1,933
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Lead
- 125
- Total
- 1,616
- vs nation
- R+0.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,1212024 5-year
- Population density
- 625 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,1792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Strafford 07, NH · twin score 98.1
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 5 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.8%
601 votes · D+21.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 51.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
74.9%
251 votes · R+50.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 68.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,447votes
47.9% of the vote · R+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,314 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,499votes
49.6% of the vote · R+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 1,435 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
−0.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.7 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · −1.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+44.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +28.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With roughly 5,100 residents, Strafford 05 sits in a county that leans Democratic at the statewide level yet delivered an R+3.5 margin in 2024, signaling ticket-splitting tendencies that make it a competitive target in legislative races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.5 points.
A population of 5,121, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,179 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Strafford 07 and State House District Strafford 02.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 5. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33805/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.