akashic
1876–2024
State House District Hillsborough 31·New Hampshire

New Hampshire 531st State House District votes the way the country votes.

A compact Manchester district that leans heavily Democratic

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NH
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
27,712
2024 ACS

New Hampshire 531st State House District, New Hampshire: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+42 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
27,7122024 5-year
Median household income
$103,5452024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
81.6%2024 5-year
Black
2.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+42 in 1896MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+2.9%
7,7207,28315,238
D
+7.7%
7,9526,80015,057
R
−0.2%
6,4736,50013,919
D
+1.1%
6,6496,49913,367
D
+3.8%
6,8136,31613,246
R
−2.9%
6,1176,48212,690
R
−1.8%
5,0455,24210,774
D
+8.1%
4,6333,8639,530
R
−2.0%
3,8004,00510,259
R
−31.3%
2,9775,7368,825
R
−41.8%
2,1655,2957,491
R
−32.3%
2,0664,4847,494
R
−8.0%
2,9603,4826,557
R
−30.1%
2,2584,2426,589
D
+3.3%
2,9522,7565,990
D
+34.2%
3,9151,9185,833
D
+15.1%
3,3882,4985,886
R
−11.1%
2,3552,9415,299
D
+0.6%
2,7172,6825,399
D
+19.1%
2,7161,8374,598
D
+24.0%
2,7501,6854,435
D
+23.8%
2,7671,7034,470
D
+19.1%
2,2741,5143,976
D
+16.3%
2,1101,5153,650
D
+9.2%
1,9151,5903,515
R
−14.2%
1,0401,4362,780
R
−10.1%
1,2181,4972,751
D
+4.7%
7116451,393
D
+4.1%
5795201,449
R
−17.6%
5668171,426
R
−17.2%
5748191,424
R
−20.0%
5428221,400
R
−42.0%
3238501,254
R
−5.8%
5716421,232
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
19.9%
English
14.5%
French
10.3%
Italian
10.0%
German
8.1%
Polish
3.7%
American
3.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.2%
75–84
2.8%
5.1%
65–74
5.3%
7.4%
55–64
7.4%
6.5%
45–54
6.4%
6.7%
35–44
6.4%
7.3%
25–34
6.8%
4.2%
18–24
4.0%
7.5%
5–17
7.1%
2.6%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$103,545
State House District Hillsborough 31 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District Hillsborough 31$103,545
New Hampshire$99,031
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
6.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 188.5%
Working age (18–64)6.1%
Seniors (65+)8.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.1%
speak English only
Other Indo-European5.4%
Spanish5.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.2%
Other Christian
6.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Baptist
0.6%
Methodist
0.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 72.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hillsborough 31 is one of New Hampshire's smaller state house districts by population, and its D+17.7 presidential margin in 2024 places it well to the left of the state's competitive statewide averages.

The Democratic margin in New Hampshire 531st State House District has rarely exceeded thirty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-two points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 82% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $103,545 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33531/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 2.9 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 15,238 votes cast, 7,720 went Democratic and 7,283 went Republican.
What is State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire?
State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire has a population of 27,712 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire?
Median household income in State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire is $103,545 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District Hillsborough 31, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.