HarrisDemocratic30.4%1,621TrumpRepublican68.4%3,648OtherAll other candidates1.3%68
R+38.0- Lead
- 2,027
- Total
- 5,337
- vs nation
- R+36.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Maine 33rd State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic32.1%1,670TrumpRepublican65.6%3,417OtherAll other candidates2.3%118
R+33.6- Lead
- 1,747
- Total
- 5,205
- vs nation
- R+38.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic30.4%1,504TrumpRepublican62.0%3,067OtherAll other candidates7.6%378
R+31.6- Lead
- 1,563
- Total
- 4,949
- vs nation
- R+33.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic38.8%1,768RomneyRepublican59.0%2,691OtherAll other candidates2.2%101
R+20.2- Lead
- 923
- Total
- 4,560
- vs nation
- R+24.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic40.0%1,904McCainRepublican58.0%2,759OtherAll other candidates1.9%92
R+18.0- Lead
- 855
- Total
- 4,755
- vs nation
- R+25.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic37.6%1,845BushRepublican60.5%2,967OtherAll other candidates1.9%92
R+22.9- Lead
- 1,122
- Total
- 4,904
- vs nation
- R+20.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic34.1%1,505BushRepublican59.4%2,624OtherAll other candidates6.5%286
R+25.3- Lead
- 1,119
- Total
- 4,415
- vs nation
- R+25.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic40.2%1,623DoleRepublican41.6%1,679OtherAll other candidates18.2%737
R+1.4- Lead
- 56
- Total
- 4,039
- vs nation
- R+9.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,1162024 5-year
- Population density
- 57 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 159 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,4092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+10.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.8 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 32, ME · twin score 99.6
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 33rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
55.3%
1,321 votes · D+10.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 43.3%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
84.4%
525 votes · R+69.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 83.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,904votes
40.0% of the vote · R+18.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 1,845 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,648votes
68.4% of the vote · R+38.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,417 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+4.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+22.1 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −9.9 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+73.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +58.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RKen FredetteState House · 33
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 48.7%2,452 | 51.3%2,584 | 5,036 |
| 2020 | D | 51.4%2,560 | 48.6%2,421 | 4,981 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+38, this rural western Maine district ranks among the state's most reliably conservative, reflecting the political patterns common to low-density inland communities far from the Portland metro.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 69.8 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.0 points.
A population of 9,116, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,409 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 32 and State House District 27.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 32
Maine
99.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectorypopulation scale
State House District 27
Maine
99.3twin score
2020–2024 trajectorypopulation scale% unaffiliated
State House District 28
Maine
98.1twin score
2016–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Maine 33rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Maine at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Maine 33rd State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Maine 33rd State House District voted Republican by 38.0 points (R+38.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,337 votes cast, 1,621 went Democratic and 3,648 went Republican.
When did Maine 33rd State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Maine 33rd State House District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Maine 33rd State House District?
Maine 33rd State House District has a population of 9,116 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Maine 33rd State House District?
Median household income in Maine 33rd State House District is $64,409 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Maine 33rd State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Maine 33rd State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 36 went Republican.