- Lead
- 20,107
- Total
- 33,810
- vs nation
- R+58.0
Idaho 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 12,240
- Total
- 24,661
- vs nation
- R+54.1
- Lead
- 9,479
- Total
- 18,548
- vs nation
- R+53.2
- Lead
- 8,617
- Total
- 16,844
- vs nation
- R+55.0
- Lead
- 8,087
- Total
- 16,201
- vs nation
- R+57.2
- Lead
- 9,051
- Total
- 14,592
- vs nation
- R+59.6
- Lead
- 6,708
- Total
- 11,409
- vs nation
- R+59.3
- Lead
- 4,788
- Total
- 10,460
- vs nation
- R+54.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 53,4982024 5-year
- Population density
- 325 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 165 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $92,9932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.2 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 8, ID · twin score 93.1
presidential history
Party record book
Idaho 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
64.4%
163 votes · D+28.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 48.3%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
85.5%
1,814 votes · R+72.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 83.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
6,514votes
19.3% of the vote · R+59.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 5,864 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,621votes
78.7% of the vote · R+59.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,104 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+34.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+28.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · −13.9 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+59.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.0 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +59.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.7%7,023 | 70.3%16,653 | 23,676 |
| 2020 | R | 34.0%6,770 | 66.0%13,161 | 19,931 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+59.4, this district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting a rural and small-town electorate where competitive general elections are rare and primaries carry outsized influence.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.9 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 72.2 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 9.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.5 points.
A population of 53,498, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,993 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 8 and State House District 24.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Idaho 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/16010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.