- Lead
- 7,794
- Total
- 25,048
- vs nation
- R+29.6
Idaho 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,102
- Total
- 25,948
- vs nation
- R+28.0
- Lead
- 4,941
- Total
- 19,981
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Lead
- 2,546
- Total
- 18,497
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Lead
- 989
- Total
- 19,455
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Lead
- 2,174
- Total
- 16,705
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Lead
- 1,920
- Total
- 13,305
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Lead
- 578
- Total
- 12,633
- vs nation
- R+3.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 52,3842024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,926 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 17.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,7972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39.8 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 5, ID · twin score 93.9
presidential history
Party record book
Idaho 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
89.8%
626 votes · D+79.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 72.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
64.2%
16,072 votes · R+31.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 60.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
9,502votes
36.6% of the vote · R+23.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 8,917 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
16,072votes
64.2% of the vote · R+31.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,604 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+85.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+79.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +46.3 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+41.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.8 · U.S. D+1.7 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +29.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 26.0%6,307 | 74.0%17,973 | 24,280 |
| 2018 | R | 31.2%4,797 | 68.8%10,554 | 15,351 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+31.1, this district of roughly 52,000 residents sits firmly in Idaho's conservative rural heartland, where statewide Republican candidates have posted commanding margins for more than a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 79.6 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 39.8 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.1 points.
A population of 52,384, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,797 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 5 and State House District 3.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Idaho 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/16004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.