- Lead
- 383
- Total
- 13,275
- vs nation
- D+4.4
Connecticut 57th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 786
- Total
- 13,273
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Lead
- 658
- Total
- 11,710
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Lead
- 5
- Total
- 10,764
- vs nation
- R+3.8
- Lead
- 923
- Total
- 11,303
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Lead
- 280
- Total
- 10,910
- vs nation
- R+0.1
- Lead
- 175
- Total
- 9,610
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Lead
- 568
- Total
- 8,967
- vs nation
- R+2.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,6982024 5-year
- Population density
- 505 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 46.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $122,9692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.8 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 61, CT · twin score 96.7
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 57th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.5%
3,431 votes · D+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 53.4%
Republican
William McKinley1896
76.8%
683 votes · R+59.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 72.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,905votes
52.0% of the vote · D+5.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 6,728 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,345votes
47.8% of the vote · D+2.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 6,147 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+4.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+2.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +2.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+53.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+59.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +40.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 59.9%6,961 | 40.1%4,652 | 11,613 |
| 2018 | D | 62.7%5,862 | 37.3%3,487 | 9,349 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of just 2.9 points, Connecticut's 57th House district sits well inside competitive territory despite the state's broader Democratic lean, making it a consistent target in state legislative battles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.8 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.9 points.
A population of 23,698, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $122,969 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 61 and State House District 53.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 57th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.