Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
american nationsTidewater

presidential margin

2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican

2004R+0.3
2008D+14.5
2012D+13.4
2016D+15.2
2020D+19.5
2024D+15.9
full record · 1892 → 2024

presidential returns

2024 turnout 71.4% of 9,716,559 citizens 18+

YearDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalCVAPTurnout
20243,945,9132,845,912146,7346,938,5599,716,55971.4%
20204,024,8832,692,393126,0136,843,2899,362,79273.1%
20163,334,3452,416,336297,6356,048,3168,955,50567.5%
20123,279,4582,496,50482,1045,858,0668,488,76269.0%
20083,194,9312,379,88254,5025,629,3158,071,77869.7%
20042,341,1272,355,49432,5744,729,1957,654,794†61.8%

† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.

2024 presidential margin for TidewaterTidewater: an interactive map of its constituent counties, each colored by its Democratic-vs-Republican presidential margin from deep red through neutral to deep blue. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: D+15.9 in 2024.
131 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households

Who lives here

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English11.4%
German9.3%
Irish8.7%
American6.2%
Italian3.9%
Scottish1.9%
Polish1.6%
French1.2%
African1.0%
Nigerian0.5%
Jamaican0.4%
Ethiopian0.4%
Haitian0.2%
Ghanaian0.2%
Mexican3.7%
Salvadoran2.2%
Puerto Rican1.4%
Guatemalan1.0%
Honduran0.7%
Dominican0.3%
Peruvian0.3%
Colombian0.3%
Asian Indian1.5%
Filipino0.8%
Chinese0.7%
Korean0.6%
Vietnamese0.6%
Pakistani0.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

MeasureTidewater
Median age39.1
Age 18–249.1%
Age 65 and older16.4%

Household economy

MeasureTidewater
Median household income$97,410
Poverty rate10.3%

Languages at home

MeasureTidewater
Speaks a non-English language at home17.7%
Spanish9.2%
Other Indo-European2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island1.0%
Other languages1.3%

Religious landscape

County context
MeasureTidewater
Catholic11.0%
Evangelical Protestant18.3%
Unclaimed / not counted54.4%
Mainline Protestant7.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

Tidewater, United States

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +15.9% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+15.9%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+12.0%
1896+5.2%
1900+13.4%
1904+63.6%
1908+39.6%
1912+56.5%
1916+30.7%
1920+22.5%
1924+26.5%
1928−4.6%
1932+44.4%
1936+48.2%
1940+45.4%
1944+33.0%
1948+23.0%
1952+4.2%
1956−1.7%
1960+7.4%
1964+15.5%
1968−4.8%
1972−34.1%
1976+3.7%
1980−6.7%
1984−19.6%
1988−15.1%
1992+1.9%
1996+3.5%
2000−0.4%
2004−0.3%
2008+14.5%
2012+13.4%
2016+15.2%
2020+19.5%
2024+15.9%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginSwingvs U.S.Total
D
56.9%Harris3,945,913
41.0%Trump2,845,912
2.1%
D+15.9R+3.6D+17.36,938,559
D
58.8%Biden4,024,883
39.3%Trump2,692,393
1.8%
D+19.5D+4.3D+15.06,843,289
D
55.1%Clinton3,334,345
40.0%Trump2,416,336
4.9%
D+15.2D+1.8D+13.16,048,316
D
56.0%Obama3,279,458
42.6%Romney2,496,504
1.4%
D+13.4R+1.1D+9.55,858,066
D
56.8%Obama3,194,931
42.3%McCain2,379,882
1.0%
D+14.5D+14.8D+7.25,629,315
R
49.5%Kerry2,341,127
49.8%Bush2,355,494
0.7%
R+0.3D+0.1D+2.24,729,195
R
48.6%Gore1,924,277
49.0%Bush1,940,298
2.3%
R+0.4R+3.9R+0.93,956,455
D
48.3%Clinton1,663,440
44.8%Dole1,543,580
7.0%
D+3.5D+1.6R+5.03,447,192
D
43.6%Clinton1,571,110
41.7%Bush1,503,082
14.6%
D+1.9D+17.0R+3.73,601,657
R
42.1%Dukakis1,265,032
57.2%Bush1,718,933
0.8%
R+15.1D+4.5R+7.43,006,747
R
40.0%Mondale1,172,492
59.6%Reagan1,745,575
0.4%
R+19.6R+12.8R+1.32,930,706
R
43.4%Carter1,084,781
50.1%Reagan1,252,888
6.6%
R+6.7R+10.4D+3.02,502,372
D
51.1%Carter1,150,549
47.4%Ford1,066,869
1.5%
D+3.7D+37.9D+1.72,251,225
R
32.1%McGovern647,262
66.3%Nixon1,335,814
1.6%
R+34.1R+29.3R+11.02,016,303
R
34.0%Humphrey647,369
38.9%Nixon739,299
27.1%
R+4.8R+20.3R+4.11,901,275
D
57.7%Johnson846,321
42.2%Goldwater619,224
0.1%
D+15.5D+8.1R+7.11,467,745
D
53.5%Kennedy665,468
46.2%Nixon573,772
0.3%
D+7.4D+9.1D+7.21,242,893
R
47.4%Stevenson501,805
49.1%Eisenhower520,261
3.5%
R+1.7R+5.9D+13.71,059,191
D
52.0%Stevenson524,405
47.8%Eisenhower482,099
0.3%
D+4.2R+18.8D+14.91,009,185
D
57.8%Truman373,003
34.8%Dewey224,404
7.4%
D+23.0R+10.0D+18.5645,468
D
66.5%Roosevelt407,194
33.4%Dewey204,862
0.1%
D+33.0R+12.4D+25.5612,704
D
72.6%Roosevelt444,185
27.2%Willkie166,176
0.2%
D+45.4R+2.8D+35.5611,830
D
74.0%Roosevelt441,923
25.8%Landon153,979
0.2%
D+48.2D+3.8D+23.9597,387
D
71.7%Roosevelt373,270
27.2%Hoover141,821
1.1%
D+44.4D+49.0D+26.6520,914
R
47.7%Smith232,394
52.2%Hoover254,651
0.1%
R+4.6R+31.0D+12.9487,683
D
61.5%Davis219,189
35.1%Coolidge124,973
3.4%
D+26.5D+4.0D+51.6356,178
D
61.0%Cox246,260
38.5%Harding155,460
0.5%
D+22.5R+8.2D+48.7403,657
D
64.8%Wilson158,829
34.1%Hughes83,520
1.1%
D+30.7R+25.8D+27.6245,008
D
76.3%Wilson165,860
19.8%Taft42,980
4.0%
D+56.5D+16.9D+37.0217,507
D
91.2%Bryan158,304
51.6%Taft89,566
0.0%
D+39.6R+24.1D+49.1173,631
D
111.1%Parker160,837
47.5%Roosevelt68,726
0.0%
D+63.6D+50.2D+83.3144,732
D
67.5%Bryan185,716
54.1%McKinley148,743
0.0%
D+13.4D+8.3D+21.0275,065
D
51.8%Bryan189,308
46.7%McKinley170,414
1.5%
D+5.2R+6.8D+11.3365,170
D
50.9%Cleveland172,753
38.9%Harrison131,968
10.2%
D+12.0—D+10.4339,295

Tidewater sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.6 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 34.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.9 points.

A population of 13,420,321, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,410 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Deep South and Greater Appalachia.

Political twins — American Nations

The American Nations whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Deep South
39.5twin score
% Black% Catholic2000 margin≠ 2024 margin
Greater Appalachia
33.4twin score
% Catholic12-yr trend% Latino≠ 2020 margin
The Left Coast
22.8twin score
12-yr trendcollege share% White≠ % Black

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tidewater, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/amnat/tidewater/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Tidewater, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tidewater, United States voted Democratic by 15.9 points (D+15.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,938,559 votes cast, 3,945,913 went Democratic and 2,845,912 went Republican.
When did Tidewater, United States last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Tidewater, United States voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Tidewater, United States?
Tidewater, United States has a population of 13,420,321 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tidewater, United States?
Median household income in Tidewater, United States is $97,410 — above the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $84,954.
What is the political history of Tidewater, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tidewater, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.