Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
american nations

El Norte

Contests in this Place (42 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · all mapped

precinct · counties · no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

18922024 · D minus R
Full record · 18922024
2024 presidential vote for El NorteEl Norte: an interactive county map of the presidential vote, each county colored by the Democratic-versus-Republican margin from red through neutral to blue. Counties with no votes use a faint neutral wash; exact ties use a solid warm neutral. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: D+4.8 in 2024.
85 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab

President results by year

Vote totals, margins, and source status

HarrisDemocratic51.5%4,023,075TrumpRepublican46.7%3,647,526OtherAll other candidates1.7%135,998
D+4.8
Lead
375,549
Total
7,806,599
vs nation
D+6.3
BidenDemocratic55.3%4,447,776TrumpRepublican42.8%3,441,818OtherAll other candidates2.0%158,197
D+12.5
Lead
1,005,958
Total
8,047,791
vs nation
D+8.0
ClintonDemocratic52.1%3,360,891TrumpRepublican40.5%2,612,331OtherAll other candidates7.4%478,330
D+11.6
Lead
748,560
Total
6,451,552
vs nation
D+9.5
ObamaDemocratic51.2%2,963,379RomneyRepublican46.4%2,685,074OtherAll other candidates2.4%136,605
D+4.8
Lead
278,305
Total
5,785,058
vs nation
D+1.0
ObamaDemocratic52.6%3,103,372McCainRepublican46.0%2,714,668OtherAll other candidates1.5%87,065
D+6.6
Lead
388,704
Total
5,905,105
vs nation
R+0.7
KerryDemocratic46.8%2,507,664BushRepublican52.2%2,794,201OtherAll other candidates1.0%53,532
R+5.4
Lead
286,537
Total
5,355,397
vs nation
R+2.9
GoreDemocratic46.9%2,069,042BushRepublican49.0%2,162,020OtherAll other candidates4.1%179,230
R+2.1
Lead
92,978
Total
4,410,292
vs nation
R+2.6
ClintonDemocratic48.4%1,945,974DoleRepublican42.8%1,719,168OtherAll other candidates8.8%353,041
D+5.6
Lead
226,806
Total
4,018,183
vs nation
R+2.9
Certified or directly reported presidential returnsRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+4.8MIT Election Lab
Population
18,968,4712024 5-year
Population density
89 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
214,319 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$81,6272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
48.9%2024 5-year
Black
4.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
48.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+36.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+25.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Most similar
The Far West · twin score 77.8

presidential history

Party record book

El Norte · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

67.4%

385,540 votes · D+36.2

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 66.9%

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

62.2%

2,145,447 votes · R+25.4

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 60.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

4,447,776votes

55.3% of the vote · D+12.5

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 4,023,075 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

3,647,526votes

46.7% of the vote · D+4.8

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,441,818 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

+38.6pts D vs U.S.

Place D+32.5 · U.S. R+6.1

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +18.2 pts

Republican

Benjamin Harrison1892

+23.8pts R vs U.S.

Place R+22.1 · U.S. D+1.7

Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +12.1 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for El Norte, 1892–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.

presidential primaries

Nominating contests

El Norte · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.

Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.

Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.

Presidential nominating contests in El Norte, by party and cycle.
Party20082012201620202024
Democratic
Clinton72Obama131,721,932 votes · 85 of 85 countiescaucus + primary
Obama55All others2539,916 votes · 57 of 85 countiesprimary
Clinton72Sanders131,587,415 votes · 85 of 85 countiescaucus + primary
Biden50Sanders34Bloomberg11,939,581 votes · 85 of 85 countiesprimary
Biden7370,153 votes · 7 of 85 countiesprimary
Republicannot ingested
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record

no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.

Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.

Where a cell reads All others, no named candidate led — the source’s residual bucket did. That bucket holds every name past the ones the contest itemises, including candidates who had withdrawn but still drew votes. It is a total, not a person, so it carries no candidate colour.

Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.

County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.

Source · official statewide canvasses for each party's presidential nominating contest, aggregated from county returns.Each cell is one party in one cycle. A cell with a result shows the leader and the lead over the runner-up; every other cell shows that Akashic holds no record, which is a statement about this archive rather than about the contest.Presidential nominating contests only. Down-ballot primaries — Senate, governor, U.S. House, state legislative — are not yet ingested, and neither is the nominating-contest calendar that would let an empty cell say which of cancelled, uncontested, or not-yet-ingested it is.
voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+0.8
Presidential vote · 2024D+4.8

El Norte registers Republican but votes Democratic — a 5.7-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.

Voter registration in El NorteRegistered voters by party of registration, 2026–2026. Latest total 4,860,677 in 2026.1.2M2.4M3.6M4.9M20262026
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in El Norte
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2026 (partial)4,860,6771,559,2531,600,1761,607,64693,602
Source: State election authorities

El Norte sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 25.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.8 points.

A population of 18,968,471, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,627 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of The Far West and New France.

The American Nations whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Norte, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/nations/el-norte/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →

Frequently asked questions

How did El Norte, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Norte, United States voted Democratic by 4.8 points (D+4.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 7,806,599 votes cast, 4,023,075 went Democratic and 3,647,526 went Republican.
When did El Norte, United States last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which El Norte, United States voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in El Norte, United States?
El Norte, United States has a population of 18,968,471 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Norte, United States?
Median household income in El Norte, United States is $81,627 — above the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of El Norte, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in El Norte, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.