Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
american nationsEl Norte

presidential margin

2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican

2004R+5.4
2008D+6.6
2012D+4.8
2016D+11.6
2020D+12.5
2024D+4.8
full record · 1892 → 2024

presidential returns

2024 turnout 59.8% of 13,055,070 citizens 18+

YearDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalCVAPTurnout
20244,023,0753,647,526135,9987,806,59913,055,07059.8%
20204,447,7763,441,818158,1978,047,79112,570,79764.0%
20163,360,8912,612,331478,3306,451,55211,740,92554.9%
20122,963,3792,685,074136,6055,785,05810,980,72052.7%
20083,103,3722,714,66887,0655,905,10510,322,34657.2%
20042,507,6642,794,20153,5325,355,3979,663,972†55.4%

† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.

2024 presidential margin for El NorteEl Norte: an interactive map of its constituent counties, each colored by its Democratic-vs-Republican presidential margin from deep red through neutral to deep blue. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: D+4.8 in 2024.
85 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households

Who lives here

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German9.1%
English7.5%
Irish6.7%
American3.3%
Italian3.2%
French1.4%
Polish1.4%
Scottish1.3%
Mexican41.7%
Spanish0.8%
Spaniard0.8%
Puerto Rican0.8%
Cuban0.3%
Guatemalan0.3%
Salvadoran0.3%
Colombian0.2%
Navajo0.3%
Aztec0.2%
Filipino1.4%
Chinese0.8%
Asian Indian0.8%
Vietnamese0.5%
Korean0.3%
Japanese0.2%
African0.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

MeasureEl Norte
Median age36.9
Age 18–2410.0%
Age 65 and older16.2%

Household economy

MeasureEl Norte
Median household income$81,627
Poverty rate14.2%

Languages at home

MeasureEl Norte
Speaks a non-English language at home38.4%
Spanish32.3%
Other Indo-European1.1%

Religious landscape

County context
MeasureEl Norte
Catholic29.3%
Evangelical Protestant11.3%
Unclaimed / not counted50.1%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

El Norte, United States

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +4.8% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+4.8%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−22.1%
1896+32.5%
1900−6.9%
1904−25.9%
1908−21.6%
1912+26.0%
1916+12.0%
1920−14.7%
1924−7.8%
1928−16.9%
1932+36.0%
1936+36.2%
1940+21.7%
1944+15.6%
1948+10.7%
1952−16.5%
1956−18.8%
1960−1.8%
1964+14.4%
1968−7.7%
1972−24.3%
1976−4.5%
1980−21.5%
1984−25.4%
1988−12.2%
1992+3.5%
1996+5.6%
2000−2.1%
2004−5.4%
2008+6.6%
2012+4.8%
2016+11.6%
2020+12.5%
2024+4.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginSwingvs U.S.Total
D
51.5%Harris4,023,075
46.7%Trump3,647,526
1.7%
D+4.8R+7.7D+6.37,806,599
D
55.3%Biden4,447,776
42.8%Trump3,441,818
2.0%
D+12.5D+0.9D+8.08,047,791
D
52.1%Clinton3,360,891
40.5%Trump2,612,331
7.4%
D+11.6D+6.8D+9.56,451,552
D
51.2%Obama2,963,379
46.4%Romney2,685,074
2.4%
D+4.8R+1.8D+1.05,785,058
D
52.6%Obama3,103,372
46.0%McCain2,714,668
1.5%
D+6.6D+11.9R+0.75,905,105
R
46.8%Kerry2,507,664
52.2%Bush2,794,201
1.0%
R+5.4R+3.2R+2.95,355,397
R
46.9%Gore2,069,042
49.0%Bush2,162,020
4.1%
R+2.1R+7.8R+2.64,410,292
D
48.4%Clinton1,945,974
42.8%Dole1,719,168
8.8%
D+5.6D+2.1R+2.94,018,183
D
40.5%Clinton1,755,593
37.0%Bush1,601,979
22.5%
D+3.5D+15.7R+2.04,329,898
R
43.3%Dukakis1,624,908
55.5%Bush2,082,372
1.1%
R+12.2D+13.2R+4.53,749,370
R
36.9%Mondale1,271,001
62.2%Reagan2,145,447
0.9%
R+25.4R+3.9R+7.13,447,174
R
34.6%Carter1,060,733
56.1%Reagan1,719,267
9.3%
R+21.5R+17.0R+11.83,063,874
R
46.6%Carter1,256,338
51.1%Ford1,377,320
2.3%
R+4.5D+19.8R+6.62,696,812
R
36.0%McGovern884,862
60.3%Nixon1,483,027
3.8%
R+24.3R+16.6R+1.22,461,140
R
42.0%Humphrey822,972
49.7%Nixon974,057
8.4%
R+7.7R+22.1R+7.01,961,130
D
57.1%Johnson1,043,449
42.7%Goldwater780,624
0.2%
D+14.4D+16.2R+8.21,827,132
R
49.0%Kennedy787,066
50.7%Nixon815,654
0.3%
R+1.8D+17.0R+1.91,607,554
R
40.4%Stevenson504,367
59.2%Eisenhower739,412
0.4%
R+18.8R+2.3R+3.41,248,521
R
41.6%Stevenson492,697
58.1%Eisenhower687,908
0.3%
R+16.5R+27.2R+5.71,184,388
D
54.0%Truman446,016
43.2%Dewey357,221
2.8%
D+10.7R+4.9D+6.3826,542
D
56.9%Roosevelt387,869
41.3%Dewey281,383
1.9%
D+15.6R+6.1D+8.1681,882
D
60.6%Roosevelt409,486
38.9%Willkie262,690
0.6%
D+21.7R+14.5D+11.8675,903
D
67.4%Roosevelt385,540
31.2%Landon178,414
1.4%
D+36.2D+0.2D+12.0571,832
D
66.9%Roosevelt354,718
30.9%Hoover163,674
2.2%
D+36.0D+52.9D+18.2530,195
R
41.3%Smith169,084
58.2%Hoover238,308
0.5%
R+16.9R+9.1D+0.6409,357
R
36.8%Davis122,874
44.6%Coolidge148,926
18.7%
R+7.8D+6.9D+17.4334,164
R
40.5%Cox108,568
55.3%Harding148,022
4.2%
R+14.7R+26.7D+11.5267,800
D
53.5%Wilson120,113
41.5%Hughes93,194
4.9%
D+12.0R+14.0D+8.9224,331
D
46.9%Wilson74,305
21.0%Taft33,184
32.1%
D+26.0D+47.6D+6.4158,310
R
35.0%Bryan15,919
56.6%Taft25,751
8.4%
R+21.6D+4.3R+12.145,485
R
33.2%Parker13,239
59.1%Roosevelt23,563
7.6%
R+25.9R+19.0R+6.239,847
R
45.1%Bryan16,140
52.0%McKinley18,604
3.0%
R+6.9R+39.4D+0.735,811
D
65.5%Bryan22,947
33.0%McKinley11,553
1.6%
D+32.5D+54.6D+38.635,058
R
22.7%Cleveland5,719
44.8%Harrison11,302
32.5%
R+22.1—R+23.825,219

El Norte sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 25.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.8 points.

A population of 18,968,471, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,627 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of The Far West and New France.

Political twins — American Nations

The American Nations whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

The Far West
77.8twin score
12-yr trend% Black2004–2012 trajectory≠ % Latino
New France
12.3twin score
% Catholic12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectory≠ elasticity
Greater Appalachia
11.6twin score
12-yr trend% AsianPuerto Rican ancestry≠ % Latino

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Norte, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/amnat/el-norte/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did El Norte, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Norte, United States voted Democratic by 4.8 points (D+4.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 7,806,599 votes cast, 4,023,075 went Democratic and 3,647,526 went Republican.
When did El Norte, United States last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which El Norte, United States voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in El Norte, United States?
El Norte, United States has a population of 18,968,471 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Norte, United States?
Median household income in El Norte, United States is $81,627 — above the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of El Norte, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in El Norte, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.