akashic
1876–2024
El Norte·United States

El Norte moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

20082024·5 elections
El Norte
HarrisD+4.8
2024 presidential margin by county for El NorteA map of the constituent counties of El Norte, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Otero County, NM · R+27.0Calhoun County, TX · R+52.1Refugio County, TX · R+39.5Jim Hogg County, TX · D+8.3Dimmit County, TX · D+3.3San Juan County, CO · D+31.9Zavala County, TX · D+14.4DeWitt County, TX · R+67.0Santa Barbara County, CA · D+26.5McMullen County, TX · R+84.4Ventura County, CA · D+15.1Yuma County, AZ · R+20.4Pinal County, AZ · R+22.0Alamosa County, CO · R+10.8San Miguel County, NM · D+27.9Kinney County, TX · R+50.4San Diego County, CA · D+16.8Bexar County, TX · D+9.7Costilla County, CO · D+14.7Aransas County, TX · R+55.7Taos County, NM · D+47.5Colfax County, NM · R+14.0Huerfano County, CO · R+8.6Karnes County, TX · R+58.1Maricopa County, AZ · R+3.5Duval County, TX · R+9.8Sandoval County, NM · D+5.8Edwards County, TX · R+73.2Maverick County, TX · R+18.5Pima County, AZ · D+15.1Kleberg County, TX · R+12.7Doña Ana County, NM · D+9.8Real County, TX · R+66.9Cochise County, AZ · R+23.1Hidalgo County, NM · R+23.4Medina County, TX · R+42.7Socorro County, NM · R+3.7Presidio County, TX · D+30.2Willacy County, TX · R+3.3Los Alamos County, NM · D+30.2Mora County, NM · D+17.2Mineral County, CO · R+13.3Eddy County, NM · R+55.8Pecos County, TX · R+44.7Frio County, TX · R+24.5Archuleta County, CO · R+14.0Hudspeth County, TX · R+46.6Graham County, AZ · R+48.0Brooks County, TX · D+9.6Lincoln County, NM · R+38.5Jeff Davis County, TX · R+21.3Guadalupe County, NM · D+0.7Torrance County, NM · R+38.1Luna County, NM · R+18.9Nueces County, TX · R+11.5Terrell County, TX · R+55.1Rio Arriba County, NM · D+19.4Live Oak County, TX · R+69.6Uvalde County, TX · R+33.4Culberson County, TX · R+16.9Atascosa County, TX · R+43.3Wilson County, TX · R+53.6Starr County, TX · R+16.0Chaves County, NM · R+44.8Santa Fe County, NM · D+48.9Santa Cruz County, AZ · D+18.6Imperial County, CA · R+0.9La Salle County, TX · R+20.5Val Verde County, TX · R+26.6Kenedy County, TX · R+46.8Bee County, TX · R+39.8Bernalillo County, NM · D+21.0Brewster County, TX · R+12.6Conejos County, CO · R+17.8Goliad County, TX · R+60.2San Patricio County, TX · R+36.4Webb County, TX · R+2.2Valencia County, NM · R+16.4Las Animas County, CO · R+13.5Jim Wells County, TX · R+15.5San Luis Obispo County, CA · D+10.9Zapata County, TX · R+22.4Hidalgo County, TX · R+2.9El Paso County, TX · D+15.1Cameron County, TX · R+5.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic51.4%4,023,075
Donald TrumpRepublican46.6%3,647,526
OtherAll other candidates1.9%150,714
D+60
R+60
85 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +4.8% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+4.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876−6.4%
1880+2.2%
1884−3.4%
1888−8.8%
1892−22.1%
1896+32.5%
1900−6.9%
1904−25.9%
1908−21.6%
1912+26.0%
1916+12.0%
1920−14.7%
1924−7.8%
1928−16.9%
1932+36.0%
1936+36.2%
1940+21.7%
1944+15.6%
1948+10.7%
1952−16.5%
1956−18.8%
1960−1.8%
1964+14.4%
1968−7.7%
1972−24.3%
1976−4.5%
1980−21.5%
1984−25.4%
1988−12.2%
1992+3.5%
1996+5.6%
2000−2.1%
2004−5.4%
2008+6.6%
2012+4.8%
2016+11.6%
2020+12.5%
2024+4.8%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
51.4%Harris4,023,075
46.6%Trump3,647,526
1.9%
+4.8%
7,821,315
D
55.3%Biden4,447,776
42.8%Trump3,441,818
2.0%incl. Jorgensen
+12.5%
8,047,791
D
52.1%Clinton3,360,891
40.5%Trump2,612,331
7.4%incl. Johnson
+11.6%
6,451,552
D
51.2%Obama2,963,379
46.4%Romney2,685,074
2.4%
+4.8%
5,785,058
D
52.6%Obama3,103,372
46.0%McCain2,714,668
1.5%
+6.6%
5,905,105
R
46.8%Kerry2,507,664
52.2%Bush2,794,201
1.0%
−5.4%
5,355,397
R
46.9%Gore2,069,042
49.0%Bush2,162,020
4.1%incl. Nader
−2.1%
4,410,292
D
48.4%Clinton1,945,974
42.8%Dole1,719,168
8.8%incl. Perot
+5.6%
4,018,183
D
40.5%Clinton1,755,593
37.0%Bush1,601,979
22.5%incl. Perot
+3.5%
4,329,898
R
43.3%Dukakis1,624,908
55.5%Bush2,082,372
1.1%
−12.2%
3,749,370
R
36.9%Mondale1,271,001
62.2%Reagan2,145,447
0.9%
−25.4%
3,447,174
R
34.6%Carter1,060,733
56.1%Reagan1,719,267
9.3%incl. Anderson
−21.5%
3,063,874
R
46.6%Carter1,256,338
51.1%Ford1,377,320
2.3%
−4.5%
2,696,812
R
36.0%McGovern884,862
60.3%Nixon1,483,027
3.8%
−24.3%
2,461,140
R
42.0%Humphrey822,972
49.7%Nixon974,057
8.4%incl. Wallace
−7.7%
1,961,130
D
57.1%Johnson1,043,449
42.7%Goldwater780,624
0.2%
+14.4%
1,827,132
R
49.0%Kennedy787,066
50.7%Nixon815,654
0.3%
−1.8%
1,607,554
R
40.4%Stevenson504,367
59.2%Eisenhower739,412
0.4%
−18.8%
1,248,521
R
41.6%Stevenson492,697
58.1%Eisenhower687,908
0.3%
−16.5%
1,184,388
D
54.0%Truman446,016
43.2%Dewey357,221
2.8%incl. Thurmond
+10.7%
826,542
D
56.9%Roosevelt387,869
41.3%Dewey281,383
1.9%
+15.6%
681,882
D
60.6%Roosevelt409,486
38.9%Willkie262,690
0.6%
+21.7%
675,903
D
67.4%Roosevelt385,540
31.2%Landon178,414
1.4%
+36.2%
571,832
D
66.9%Roosevelt354,718
30.9%Hoover163,674
2.2%
+36.0%
530,195
R
41.3%Smith169,084
58.2%Hoover238,308
0.5%
−16.9%
409,357
R
36.8%Davis122,874
44.6%Coolidge148,926
18.7%incl. La Follette
−7.8%
334,164
R
40.5%Cox108,568
55.3%Harding148,022
4.2%
−14.7%
267,800
D
53.5%Wilson120,113
41.5%Hughes93,194
4.9%
+12.0%
224,331
D
46.9%Wilson74,305
21.0%Taft33,184
32.1%incl. Roosevelt
+26.0%
158,310
R
35.0%Bryan15,919
56.6%Taft25,751
8.4%
−21.6%
45,485
R
33.2%Parker13,239
59.1%Roosevelt23,563
7.6%
−25.9%
39,847
R
45.1%Bryan16,140
52.0%McKinley18,604
3.0%
−6.9%
35,811
D
65.5%Bryan22,947
33.0%McKinley11,553
1.6%
+32.5%
35,058
R
22.7%Cleveland5,719
44.8%Harrison11,302
32.5%incl. Weaver
−22.1%
25,219
R
43.8%Cleveland12,120
52.6%Harrison14,554
3.6%
−8.8%
27,662
R
47.0%Cleveland7,188
50.4%Blaine7,709
2.5%
−3.4%
15,286
D
48.6%Hancock5,546
46.5%Garfield5,297
4.9%
+2.2%
11,403
R
46.8%Tilden2,946
53.2%Hayes3,348
0.0%
−6.4%
6,296

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorEl NorteAmerican Nation
Race & Ethnicity
White48.9%
Black4.2%
Asian4.8%
Two or more races28.7%
Other race13.5%
Hispanic or Latino48.5%
Income & Age
Median household income$81,627
Poverty rate14.2%
Median age36.9
Age 18–2410.0%
Age 65 and older16.2%
Education & Language
Speaks a non-English language at home38.4%
Spanish32.3%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 9.1%
2nd-largest ancestryEnglish 7.5%
3rd-largest ancestryIrish 6.7%
Religion
Catholic29.3%County context
Evangelical Protestant11.3%County context
Unaffiliated or unclaimed50.1%County context

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.1%
English
7.5%
Irish
6.7%
American
3.3%
Italian
3.1%
French
1.3%
Polish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
61.6%
speak English only
Spanish32.3%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Other languages0.8%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.8%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.7%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.6%
Vietnamese0.5%
Arabic0.4%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.4%
German or other West Germanic0.3%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.3%
Korean0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
29.3%
Evangelical Protestant
11.3%
Latter-day Saints
3.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Other Christian
1.4%
Muslim
1.0%
Black Protestant
0.5%
Hindu
0.5%
Buddhist
0.4%
Jewish
0.3%
Other faiths
0.2%
Orthodox Christian
0.2%
Unaffiliated or not counted50.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

El Norte sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 25.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.8 points.

A population of 18,968,471, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,627 describe the region.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Norte, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/amnat/el-norte/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did El Norte, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Norte, United States voted Democratic by 4.8 points (D+4.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 7,821,315 votes cast, 4,023,075 went Democratic and 3,647,526 went Republican.
What is El Norte, United States's political typology?
Akashic places El Norte, United States in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the region has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did El Norte, United States last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which El Norte, United States voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in El Norte, United States?
El Norte, United States has a population of 18,968,471 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Norte, United States?
Median household income in El Norte, United States is $81,627 — above the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of El Norte, United States?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in El Norte, United States from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The region's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.