California 12th Congressional District, California: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+54%. Democratic peak: D+64 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+54MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 214,8012024 5-year
- Median household income
- $129,4042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 29.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: LEE, Barbara (2023–2025), PELOSI, Nancy (2021–2023), PELOSI, Nancy (2019–2021), PELOSI, Nancy (2017–2019)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 65,113 | 18,327 | 87,278 | ||
| D | 80,489 | 17,741 | 100,805 | ||
| D | 67,115 | 12,483 | 85,951 | ||
| D | 61,218 | 14,082 | 77,780 | ||
| D | 63,755 | 15,562 | 81,176 | ||
| D | 55,099 | 17,038 | 73,259 | ||
| D | 44,709 | 15,526 | 64,432 | ||
| D | 39,622 | 13,873 | 60,216 | ||
| D | 43,577 | 14,234 | 69,083 | ||
| D | 40,444 | 21,195 | 62,407 | ||
| D | 36,770 | 25,051 | 62,658 | ||
| D | 26,295 | 20,645 | 54,420 | ||
| D | 30,744 | 20,242 | 53,132 | ||
| D | 33,794 | 26,308 | 61,416 | ||
| D | 28,645 | 19,981 | 53,124 | ||
| D | 37,034 | 18,639 | 55,739 | ||
| D | 28,353 | 23,919 | 52,464 | ||
| R | 22,724 | 25,184 | 48,063 | ||
| R | 22,705 | 25,200 | 48,296 | ||
| D | 20,200 | 19,679 | 42,259 | ||
| D | 22,191 | 16,074 | 38,445 | ||
| D | 19,393 | 15,283 | 35,109 | ||
| D | 19,544 | 10,744 | 30,682 | ||
| D | 13,928 | 11,650 | 26,723 | ||
| R | 7,981 | 15,466 | 23,681 | ||
| R | 1,049 | 10,634 | 17,325 | ||
| R | 2,813 | 9,578 | 13,866 | ||
| R | 5,743 | 6,726 | 13,380 | ||
| O | 3,210 | 0 | 8,709 | ||
| R | 940 | 2,803 | 4,370 | ||
| R | 586 | 2,507 | 3,573 | ||
| R | 887 | 1,888 | 2,928 | ||
| R | 1,115 | 1,769 | 2,936 | ||
| R | 949 | 1,161 | 2,445 | ||
| R | 762 | 1,169 | 2,053 | ||
| R | 632 | 991 | 1,648 | ||
| R | 523 | 781 | 1,318 | ||
| R | 451 | 658 | 1,111 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 58.9% | 41.1% | 15,348,846 |
| 2022 | D | 61.1% | 38.9% | 10,843,650 |
| 2018 | D | 100.0% | 0.0% | 11,113,364 |
| 2016 | D | 100.0% | 0.0% | 12,244,170 |
| 2012 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 12,578,511 |
| 2010 | D | 52.2% | 42.2% | 10,000,160 |
| 2006 | D | 59.4% | 35.0% | 8,541,476 |
| 2004 | D | 57.7% | 37.8% | 12,053,295 |
| 2000 | D | 55.8% | 36.6% | 10,623,608 |
| 1998 | D | 53.1% | 43.0% | 8,311,905 |
| 1994 | D | 46.7% | 44.8% | 8,514,089 |
| 1992 | D | 47.9% | 43.0% | 10,799,703 |
| 1988 | R | 44.0% | 52.8% | 9,743,598 |
| 1986 | D | 49.3% | 47.9% | 7,398,462 |
| 1982 | R | 44.8% | 51.5% | 7,805,450 |
| 1980 | D | 56.5% | 37.1% | 8,324,012 |
| 1976 | R | 46.9% | 50.2% | 7,470,586 |
Demographics
Anchored in San Francisco, CA-12 posts presidential margins rarely seen outside urban cores—Biden and Harris each carried it by more than 60 points—making it among the least competitive seats in Congress.
The Democratic margin in California 12th Congressional District reached its widest at sixty-four points in 2016. The margin in 2024 was fifty-four points — still decisive.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $129,404, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 214,801 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 12, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0612/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.