akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 31·North Carolina

North Carolina 31st State Senate District delivered D+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of North Carolina's most Republican-leaning upper-chamber districts

18762024·38 elections
NC
Latest
D+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
324,084
2024 ACS

North Carolina 31st State Senate District, North Carolina: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+2%. Democratic peak: D+43 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
324,0842024 5-year
Median household income
$66,5812024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
60.6%2024 5-year
Black
22.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+43 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.8%
87,02783,986173,612
D
+3.0%
86,13780,988169,668
D
+0.5%
72,23471,459150,094
R
−0.2%
72,05672,294146,128
D
+3.4%
72,02767,186140,575
R
−13.8%
51,07367,439118,928
D
+17.3%
60,45342,552103,690
R
−14.4%
38,06151,78795,455
R
−4.2%
41,51645,73799,826
R
−19.3%
33,73449,92483,920
R
−24.7%
31,28251,86583,316
R
−5.5%
33,56737,59573,900
D
+1.6%
34,94433,84469,081
R
−37.0%
18,22340,31859,692
R
−17.9%
16,88127,40058,907
D
+2.2%
27,51226,32053,832
R
−14.0%
21,67928,74450,423
R
−24.8%
15,26325,34740,610
R
−1.4%
22,05322,70144,755
D
+10.2%
13,15810,54925,576
D
+20.1%
15,83310,53926,372
D
+41.9%
19,0557,80826,863
D
+43.4%
17,7847,01824,802
D
+34.2%
13,7466,67320,710
R
−32.7%
6,71913,24219,961
D
+9.3%
7,6056,28414,261
D
+0.2%
7,8097,78415,593
D
+1.1%
4,5124,4169,120
D
+9.0%
3,3202,6587,348
R
−14.0%
2,8293,7686,712
R
−5.2%
2,7503,0585,878
R
−6.3%
3,2183,6496,887
R
−17.0%
3,4344,8508,325
R
−1.2%
3,2773,3607,202
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.5%
German
10.1%
Irish
8.1%
American
6.8%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
2.1%
Polish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.6%
speak English only
Spanish10.8%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
27.1%
Baptist
12.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.9%
Methodist
9.6%
Mainline Protestant
5.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 30.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+43, this western or rural district sits far outside North Carolina's competitive corridors, delivering among the most lopsided statewide results of any state senate seat.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-three points in 1936; the Republican margin reached thirty-seven points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 324,084, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $66,581 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 31, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/37031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 31, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 31, North Carolina voted Democratic by 1.8 points (D+2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 173,612 votes cast, 87,027 went Democratic and 83,986 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 31, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, North Carolina as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 31, North Carolina last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 31, North Carolina voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in State Senate District 31, North Carolina?
State Senate District 31, North Carolina has a population of 324,084 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, North Carolina?
Median household income in State Senate District 31, North Carolina is $66,581 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of State Senate District 31, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.