- Lead
- 3,341
- Total
- 5,643
- vs nation
- D+60.7
Vermont Washington-2 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,500
- Total
- 5,683
- vs nation
- D+57.1
- Lead
- 2,269
- Total
- 4,908
- vs nation
- D+44.1
- Lead
- 2,433
- Total
- 4,578
- vs nation
- D+49.3
- Lead
- 2,624
- Total
- 5,046
- vs nation
- D+44.7
- Lead
- 1,675
- Total
- 4,810
- vs nation
- D+37.3
- Lead
- 1,040
- Total
- 4,520
- vs nation
- D+22.5
- Lead
- 1,345
- Total
- 4,016
- vs nation
- D+25.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+59.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,3512024 5-year
- Population density
- 45 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 185 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $99,1902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington-Orange State House District, VT · twin score 99.6
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Washington-2 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
79.4%
4,512 votes · D+61.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 77.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
71.1%
811 votes · R+43.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 70.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
4,512votes
79.4% of the vote · D+61.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 4,396 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,774votes
48.6% of the vote · D+2.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 1,712 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+60.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+59.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +57.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+37.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +28.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
This small Montpelier-area district recorded a D+59.2 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most heavily Democratic state house districts in Vermont and reflecting the capital region's concentrated Democratic lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.6 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 53.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.2 points.
A population of 8,351, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,190 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington-Orange State House District and Washington-5 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Washington-2 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50WA2/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.