- Lead
- 1,607
- Total
- 2,809
- vs nation
- D+58.7
Vermont Windham-4 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,753
- Total
- 2,872
- vs nation
- D+56.6
- Lead
- 1,401
- Total
- 2,465
- vs nation
- D+54.7
- Lead
- 1,562
- Total
- 2,394
- vs nation
- D+61.4
- Lead
- 1,709
- Total
- 2,653
- vs nation
- D+57.1
- Lead
- 1,289
- Total
- 2,484
- vs nation
- D+54.3
- Lead
- 786
- Total
- 2,232
- vs nation
- D+34.7
- Lead
- 839
- Total
- 2,026
- vs nation
- D+32.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+57.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4822024 5-year
- Population density
- 78 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 57.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,2592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+65.2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Windham-1 State House District, VT · twin score 99.1
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Windham-4 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
81.7%
1,955 votes · D+65.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 81.3%
Republican
William McKinley1896
77.8%
379 votes · R+62.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 75.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,269votes
79.0% of the vote · D+61.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,158 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
774votes
72.3% of the vote · R+44.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 762 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+61.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+65.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +58.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+55.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +37.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Windham-4 recorded a 57.2-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most lopsided districts in a state already tilted heavily toward Democratic candidates at the federal level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.2 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 62.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.2 points.
A population of 4,482, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,259 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windham-1 State House District and Windham-8 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Windham-4 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50W-4/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.