Loading…

Akashic

state house district

Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English18.2%19.1%9.5%

Irish16.1%16.8%9.4%

German11.1%10.7%12.5%

Italian7.0%7.4%4.8%

French6.4%8.6%1.6%

American6.3%7.0%5.3%

French Canadian6.0%6.2%—

Scottish4.7%3.0%1.3%

Puerto Rican0.5%0.5%1.8%

Mexican0.4%0.6%11.3%

Cuban0.2%—0.7%

Salvadoran0.2%—0.7%

Spaniard0.2%0.2%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Median age	37.5	43.4	39.1
Age 18–24	8.1%	10.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.6%	21.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Median household income	$71,115	$81,203	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.9%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	44.3%	44.1%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Owner-occupied homes	73.2%	73.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	26.8%	26.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$200,200	$316,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$964	$1,234	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	53.1%	48.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	9.0%	19.4%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Mean commute	29.7 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	16.1%	5.9%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	66.4%	68.5%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	9.4%	16.9%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.9%	5.5%	22.3%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)	1.6%	1.2%	0.7%

Religious landscape

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Catholic	—	20.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	7.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	62.4%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	VT HD 2	Vermont	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.7%	4.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.2%	2.7%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.5%	1.5%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	5.9%	6.2%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.436	0.453	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic59.3%2,696TrumpRepublican37.1%1,685OtherAll other candidates3.6%165

D+22.2

Lead: 1,011
Total: 4,546
vs nation: D+23.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic62.9%2,782TrumpRepublican33.3%1,473OtherAll other candidates3.8%166

D+29.6

Lead: 1,309
Total: 4,421
vs nation: D+25.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic50.6%1,930TrumpRepublican32.3%1,232OtherAll other candidates17.0%649

D+18.3

Lead: 698
Total: 3,811
vs nation: D+16.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic67.0%2,457RomneyRepublican30.2%1,106OtherAll other candidates2.8%102

D+36.9

Lead: 1,351
Total: 3,665
vs nation: D+33.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic67.9%2,612McCainRepublican30.1%1,157OtherAll other candidates2.0%78

D+37.8

Lead: 1,455
Total: 3,847
vs nation: D+30.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic62.7%2,433BushRepublican34.8%1,351OtherAll other candidates2.5%96

D+27.9

Lead: 1,082
Total: 3,880
vs nation: D+30.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic50.3%1,810BushRepublican39.3%1,415OtherAll other candidates10.4%374

D+11.0

Lead: 395
Total: 3,599
vs nation: D+10.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic54.1%1,593DoleRepublican29.1%856OtherAll other candidates16.8%495

D+25.0

Lead: 737
Total: 2,944
vs nation: D+16.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+22.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 8,5392024 5-year
Population density: 54 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 158 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $71,1152024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 91.3%2024 5-year
Black: 0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+37.8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+76.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Lamoille-3 State House District, VT · twin score 99.3

presidential history

Party record book

Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

67.9%

2,612 votes · D+37.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 67.0%

Republican

Calvin Coolidge1924

87.3%

795 votes · R+76.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 84.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

2,782votes

62.9% of the vote · D+29.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,696 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

1,685votes

37.1% of the vote · D+22.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,485 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

James M. Cox1920

+41.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+14.8 · U.S. R+26.2 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +33.0 pts

Republican

Alf Landon1936

+61.8pts R vs U.S.

Place R+37.6 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +61.2 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DDan NoyesState House · Lamoille-2

RRichard BaileyState House · Lamoille-2

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	67.8%2,869	32.2%1,364	4,233
2020	D	73.7%3,324	26.3%1,188	4,512
2018	D	74.5%2,638	25.5%905	3,543

Lamoille-2 covers a slice of north-central Vermont's hill towns and small villages, where a blend of longtime rural residents and Democratic-voting in-migrants has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins at the presidential level.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.8 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 76.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.2 points.

A population of 8,539, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,115 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lamoille-3 State House District and Windham-8 State House District.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Lamoille-3 State House District

2008–2024 trajectory

Windham-8 State House District

2008–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry

Windham-4 State House District

2008–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50L-2/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District

counties it covers1

Lamoille County

Frequently asked questions

How did Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District voted Democratic by 22.2 points (D+22.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,546 votes cast, 2,696 went Democratic and 1,685 went Republican.

When did Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District?

Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District has a population of 8,539 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District?

Median household income in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District is $71,115 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.

What is the political history of Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.