- Lead
- 1,276
- Total
- 2,461
- vs nation
- D+53.3
Vermont Chittenden-10 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,336
- Total
- 2,507
- vs nation
- D+48.8
- Lead
- 836
- Total
- 2,091
- vs nation
- D+37.9
- Lead
- 683
- Total
- 2,008
- vs nation
- D+30.2
- Lead
- 815
- Total
- 2,163
- vs nation
- D+30.4
- Lead
- 406
- Total
- 2,123
- vs nation
- D+21.6
- Lead
- 157
- Total
- 1,963
- vs nation
- D+7.5
- Lead
- 319
- Total
- 1,713
- vs nation
- D+10.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+51.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,1702024 5-year
- Population density
- 993 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,8542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden-17 State House District, VT · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Chittenden-10 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
75.3%
1,887 votes · D+53.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 74.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
79.8%
150 votes · R+61.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 76.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,887votes
75.3% of the vote · D+53.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,826 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
955votes
59.9% of the vote · R+20.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 866 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+53.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +48.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+55.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +38.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Chittenden-10 posts a D+51.8 presidential margin, placing it among the most heavily one-sided state house districts in New England. Its small electorate of roughly 4,000 residents reflects the dense, university-adjacent geography typical of Burlington's core precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 61.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.8 points.
A population of 4,170, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,854 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden-17 State House District and Chittenden-22 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Chittenden-10 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50C10/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.