- Lead
- 1,418
- Total
- 2,991
- vs nation
- D+48.9
Vermont Chittenden-4 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,480
- Total
- 3,044
- vs nation
- D+44.2
- Lead
- 1,086
- Total
- 2,629
- vs nation
- D+39.2
- Lead
- 959
- Total
- 2,357
- vs nation
- D+36.8
- Lead
- 1,105
- Total
- 2,558
- vs nation
- D+35.9
- Lead
- 666
- Total
- 2,331
- vs nation
- D+31.0
- Lead
- 373
- Total
- 2,189
- vs nation
- D+16.5
- Lead
- 500
- Total
- 1,951
- vs nation
- D+17.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+47.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,6142024 5-year
- Population density
- 124 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 37.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $109,3032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden-6 State House District, VT · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Chittenden-4 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
73.0%
2,222 votes · D+48.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 72.1%
Republican
William McKinley1896
76.1%
137 votes · R+56.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 72.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,222votes
73.0% of the vote · D+48.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,156 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
906votes
54.8% of the vote · R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 821 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+48.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +44.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+50.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +30.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Chittenden-4 delivers presidential margins exceeding 50 points for Democrats, reflecting the heavily Democratic urban concentration typical of Burlington-area legislative seats in a state already among the nation's most reliably left-leaning.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.6 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 56.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.4 points.
A population of 4,614, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,303 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden-6 State House District and Chittenden-5 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Chittenden-4 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50C-4/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.