- Lead
- 2,781
- Total
- 5,954
- vs nation
- D+48.2
Connecticut 127th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,501
- Total
- 7,584
- vs nation
- D+41.7
- Lead
- 3,312
- Total
- 7,193
- vs nation
- D+44.0
- Lead
- 2,588
- Total
- 6,632
- vs nation
- D+35.2
- Lead
- 3,216
- Total
- 7,081
- vs nation
- D+38.1
- Lead
- 2,160
- Total
- 6,582
- vs nation
- D+35.3
- Lead
- 2,255
- Total
- 6,131
- vs nation
- D+36.3
- Lead
- 1,981
- Total
- 5,679
- vs nation
- D+26.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+46.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,8132024 5-year
- Population density
- 9,922 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,2342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21.8 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 6, CT · twin score 95.3
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 127th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
74.1%
4,125 votes · D+48.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 72.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
56.4%
2,318 votes · R+12.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 55.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
5,501votes
72.5% of the vote · D+46.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 5,161 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
2,961votes
51.3% of the vote · R+2.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 2,690 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+48.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +44.0 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
−2.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.7 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · −3.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+46.7 in a district of roughly 24,000 residents, HD-127 ranks among the most lopsided state house seats in Connecticut, suggesting a dense, heavily urban or university-anchored constituency.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 21.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.7 points.
A population of 23,813, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,234 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 6 and State House District 3.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 127th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.