- Lead
- 6,183
- Total
- 13,939
- vs nation
- D+45.8
Connecticut 19th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,418
- Total
- 16,025
- vs nation
- D+41.8
- Lead
- 5,570
- Total
- 14,530
- vs nation
- D+36.2
- Lead
- 5,901
- Total
- 14,094
- vs nation
- D+38.0
- Lead
- 6,978
- Total
- 14,923
- vs nation
- D+39.5
- Lead
- 4,947
- Total
- 13,847
- vs nation
- D+38.2
- Lead
- 5,365
- Total
- 13,171
- vs nation
- D+40.2
- Lead
- 5,101
- Total
- 12,893
- vs nation
- D+31.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+44.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,7042024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,113 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 22.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $188,8442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+59.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+24.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 16, CT · twin score 95.2
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 19th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
79.5%
9,696 votes · D+59.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 72.7%
Republican
William McKinley1896
59.8%
674 votes · R+24.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 53.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
11,595votes
72.4% of the vote · D+46.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 10,851 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
5,817votes
45.9% of the vote · D+7.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 5,420 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+45.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +41.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+18.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+24.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +6.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 63.4%7,244 | 36.6%4,178 | 11,422 |
| 2018 | D | 63.6%5,644 | 36.4%3,234 | 8,878 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 44 points, this Hartford-area district ranks among the most consistently one-sided in the state, reflecting a dense urban core where Democratic margins have held firm across multiple election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 24.5 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.4 points.
A population of 24,704, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $188,844 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 16 and State House District 31.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 19th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.