U.S. Senate / Class 3 (special)

Ohio — U.S. Senate (special)

Name: Ohio — U.S. Senate (special) — 2026 forecast — ratings + simulated seat distribution
Creator: Akashic
License: https://akashic.app/LICENSE.txt

The call

Tilt D

We expect Democratic to win this special — 58%.

RatingTilt D

Win probabilityD 58%

Predicted margin—

The substrate

2024 baselineR+11.2

Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the OH state page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All U.S. Senate races →