NY-02 — U.S. House

Name: NY-02 — U.S. House — 2026 forecast — ratings + simulated seat distribution
Creator: Akashic
License: https://akashic.app/LICENSE.txt

The call

Lean R

We expect Republican to win — 81%.

RatingLean R

Win probabilityR 81%

Predicted margin—

The substrate

2024 baselineR+13.9

2024 resultR+13.9

Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the NY-02 place page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All U.S. House races →