Akashic
1876–2024
U.S. House / MS-03

MS-03 — U.S. House

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Safe R

We expect Republican to win 96%.

RatingSafe R
Win probabilityR 96%
Predicted margin
The substrate
2024 baselineR+29.2
2024 resultR+29.2
Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the MS-03 place page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All U.S. House races →