Akashic
1876–2024
U.S. House / MN-01

MN-01 — U.S. House

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Likely R

We expect Republican to win 86%.

RatingLikely R
Win probabilityR 86%
Predicted margin
The substrate
2024 baselineR+12.0
2024 resultR+12.0
Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the MN-01 place page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All U.S. House races →