Akashic
1876–2024
Governors / Governor

Ohio — Governor

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Likely R

We expect Republican to win 77%.

RatingLikely R
Win probabilityR 77%
Predicted marginR+11.2
The substrate
2024 baselineR+11.2
2022 resultD+25.0
Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the OH state page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All Governors races →