Kentucky — 2016 U.S. Senate election
Recent presidential results
Akashicstate2016 Senate electionKentucky · U.S. SenatePaulR+14.5
How it voted
Share of the 2016 vote
| Rand Paul (i) ✓Republican | 57.3% | 1,090,177 |
|---|---|---|
| Jim GrayDemocrat | 42.7% | 813,246 |
2016Senate margin
D+60R+60
120 counties, each filled by 2016 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (120 counties) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| ADAIR, KY | Republican | R+48.0 |
| ALLEN, KY | Republican | R+51.0 |
| ANDERSON, KY | Republican | R+21.4 |
| BALLARD, KY | Republican | R+33.2 |
| BARREN, KY | Republican | R+18.6 |
| BATH, KY | Republican | R+3.8 |
| BELL, KY | Republican | R+43.1 |
| BOONE, KY | Republican | R+46.6 |
| BOURBON, KY | Republican | R+0.7 |
| BOYD, KY | Republican | R+5.9 |
| BOYLE, KY | Republican | R+8.1 |
| BRACKEN, KY | Republican | R+44.1 |
| BREATHITT, KY | Republican | R+3.3 |
| BRECKINRIDGE, KY | Republican | R+25.2 |
| BULLITT, KY | Republican | R+29.2 |
| BUTLER, KY | Republican | R+47.5 |
| CALDWELL, KY | Republican | R+31.2 |
| CALLOWAY, KY | Republican | R+23.1 |
| CAMPBELL, KY | Republican | R+29.5 |
| CARLISLE, KY | Republican | R+40.4 |
| CARROLL, KY | Republican | R+14.9 |
| CARTER, KY | Republican | R+12.0 |
| CASEY, KY | Republican | R+51.9 |
| CHRISTIAN, KY | Republican | R+29.4 |
| CLARK, KY | Republican | R+11.8 |
| CLAY, KY | Republican | R+53.1 |
| CLINTON, KY | Republican | R+67.6 |
| CRITTENDEN, KY | Republican | R+45.0 |
| CUMBERLAND, KY | Republican | R+56.4 |
| DAVIESS, KY | Republican | R+17.4 |
| EDMONSON, KY | Republican | R+36.6 |
| ELLIOTT, KY | Democratic | D+12.1 |
| ESTILL, KY | Republican | R+29.5 |
| FAYETTE, KY | Democratic | D+20.8 |
| FLEMING, KY | Republican | R+16.9 |
| FLOYD, KY | Republican | R+3.0 |
| FRANKLIN, KY | Democratic | D+16.2 |
| FULTON, KY | Republican | R+12.5 |
| GALLATIN, KY | Republican | R+43.0 |
| GARRARD, KY | Republican | R+33.4 |
| GRANT, KY | Republican | R+50.7 |
| GRAVES, KY | Republican | R+34.2 |
| GRAYSON, KY | Republican | R+36.4 |
| GREEN, KY | Republican | R+43.3 |
| GREENUP, KY | Republican | R+11.3 |
| HANCOCK, KY | Republican | R+12.8 |
| HARDIN, KY | Republican | R+15.9 |
| HARLAN, KY | Republican | R+47.5 |
| HARRISON, KY | Republican | R+9.8 |
| HART, KY | Republican | R+26.0 |
| HENDERSON, KY | Republican | R+9.1 |
| HENRY, KY | Republican | R+21.2 |
| HICKMAN, KY | Republican | R+32.2 |
| HOPKINS, KY | Republican | R+35.7 |
| JACKSON, KY | Republican | R+63.0 |
| JEFFERSON, KY | Democratic | D+17.9 |
| JESSAMINE, KY | Republican | R+18.7 |
| JOHNSON, KY | Republican | R+35.2 |
| KENTON, KY | Republican | R+32.1 |
| KNOTT, KY | Republican | R+13.1 |
| KNOX, KY | Republican | R+42.1 |
| LARUE, KY | Republican | R+30.6 |
| LAUREL, KY | Republican | R+50.0 |
| LAWRENCE, KY | Republican | R+24.4 |
| LEE, KY | Republican | R+30.5 |
| LESLIE, KY | Republican | R+68.1 |
| LETCHER, KY | Republican | R+25.6 |
| LEWIS, KY | Republican | R+42.7 |
| LINCOLN, KY | Republican | R+30.6 |
| LIVINGSTON, KY | Republican | R+33.8 |
| LOGAN, KY | Republican | R+40.3 |
| LYON, KY | Republican | R+23.4 |
| MADISON, KY | Republican | R+11.8 |
| MAGOFFIN, KY | Republican | R+11.9 |
| MARION, KY | Democratic | D+2.5 |
| MARSHALL, KY | Republican | R+27.6 |
| MARTIN, KY | Republican | R+51.2 |
| MASON, KY | Republican | R+25.5 |
| MCCRACKEN, KY | Republican | R+26.1 |
| MCCREARY, KY | Republican | R+55.3 |
| MCLEAN, KY | Republican | R+25.3 |
| MEADE, KY | Republican | R+16.3 |
| MENIFEE, KY | Republican | R+11.5 |
| MERCER, KY | Republican | R+21.5 |
| METCALFE, KY | Republican | R+26.3 |
| MONROE, KY | Republican | R+62.7 |
| MONTGOMERY, KY | Republican | R+9.8 |
| MORGAN, KY | Republican | R+12.8 |
| MUHLENBERG, KY | Republican | R+14.5 |
| NELSON, KY | Republican | R+14.2 |
| NICHOLAS, KY | Democratic | D+2.5 |
| OHIO, KY | Republican | R+31.6 |
| OLDHAM, KY | Republican | R+28.9 |
| OWEN, KY | Republican | R+37.9 |
| OWSLEY, KY | Republican | R+41.4 |
| PENDLETON, KY | Republican | R+49.1 |
| PERRY, KY | Republican | R+23.8 |
| PIKE, KY | Republican | R+21.6 |
| POWELL, KY | Republican | R+9.0 |
| PULASKI, KY | Republican | R+44.6 |
| ROBERTSON, KY | Republican | R+30.8 |
| ROCKCASTLE, KY | Republican | R+50.3 |
| ROWAN, KY | Democratic | D+5.7 |
| RUSSELL, KY | Republican | R+48.2 |
| SCOTT, KY | Republican | R+10.4 |
| SHELBY, KY | Republican | R+21.8 |
| SIMPSON, KY | Republican | R+29.6 |
| SPENCER, KY | Republican | R+36.6 |
| TAYLOR, KY | Republican | R+30.7 |
| TODD, KY | Republican | R+50.0 |
| TRIGG, KY | Republican | R+42.6 |
| TRIMBLE, KY | Republican | R+23.7 |
| UNION, KY | Republican | R+25.0 |
| WARREN, KY | Republican | R+20.7 |
| WASHINGTON, KY | Republican | R+21.1 |
| WAYNE, KY | Republican | R+34.1 |
| WEBSTER, KY | Republican | R+30.1 |
| WHITLEY, KY | Republican | R+44.0 |
| WOLFE, KY | Republican | R+1.5 |
| WOODFORD, KY | Republican | R+0.6 |
presidential baselinePresident 2016R+29.8Senate 2016R+14.5vs. baselineD+15.3
Kentucky's 2016 Senate race ran 15.3 points more Democratic than the presidential race on the same ballot.
Kentucky's Senate margins
Every comparable D–R contest in our store, 1978–2022
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1978 | +24.1% |
| 1980 | +30.3% |
| 1984 | −0.4% |
| 1986 | +48.8% |
| 1990 | −4.4% |
| 1992 | +27.1% |
| 1996 | −12.6% |
| 1998 | −0.6% |
| 2002 | −29.4% |
| 2004 | −1.3% |
| 2008 | −5.9% |
| 2010 | −11.5% |
| 2014 | −15.5% |
| 2016 | −14.5% |
| 2020 | −19.5% |
| 2022 | −23.6% |
Same ballot, 2016KY
Source. MIT Election Data + Science Lab — 2016 US Senate returns, party-classified by literal ballot party · county returns aggregated from precinct-level results. Real returns — nothing estimated.