Vigo County vs New York County

Side-by-side: the political memory, the demographic profile, and the deepest deltas between these two places.

Vigo County

LatestR+18.1in 2024

Population106,1092024 ACS

Most similarShiawassee CountyMI · twin score 96.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+18.1MIT Election Lab
Population: 106,1092024 5-year
Population density: 263 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 404 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $52,9762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 84.0%2024 5-year
Black: 5.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+31.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+22.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Shiawassee County, MI · twin score 96.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 49.8%41,228 participants ÷ 82,716 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +20.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 29.9%–42.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	40,882	83,604	48.9%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	45,930	83,446	55.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	44,250	83,388	53.1%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	27,464	83,000	33.1%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	41,228	82,716	49.8%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+3.4%
1896	−2.9%
1900	−3.2%
1904	−20.2%
1908	+2.1%
1912	+23.0%
1916	+9.9%
1920	−7.9%
1924	−17.7%
1928	−10.6%
1932	+16.8%
1936	+31.0%
1940	+11.6%
1944	+6.8%
1948	+15.0%
1952	+0.1%
1956	−1.1%
1960	+0.3%
1964	+18.4%
1968	−1.0%
1972	−22.1%
1976	+2.3%
1980	−10.5%
1984	−17.4%
1988	−6.6%
1992	+5.3%
1996	+5.8%
2000	−1.2%
2004	−6.4%
2008	+15.8%
2012	+0.9%
2016	−15.0%
2020	−14.7%
2024	−18.1%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	R	39.9%Harris16,338	58.0%Trump23,738	1.3%Kennedy534 +4	R+18.1	R+3.4	40,914
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican58.0%23,738 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic39.9%16,338 Robert F KennedyIndependent1.3%534 Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%267 Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%21 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%13 Cornel WestIndependent0.0%3
2020	R	41.6%Biden18,123	56.3%Trump24,545	2.1%Jorgensen900	R+14.7	D+0.2	43,594
2016	R	39.7%Clinton15,922	54.7%Trump21,924	4.3%Johnson1,723	R+15.0	R+15.8	40,105
2012	D	49.3%Obama19,712	48.4%Romney19,369	1.9%Johnson768	D+0.9	R+15.0	40,005
2008	D	57.3%Obama25,040	41.5%McCain18,121	1.2%	D+15.8	D+22.3	43,706
2004	R	46.4%Kerry18,426	52.8%Bush20,988	0.8%	R+6.4	R+5.2	39,744
2000	R	48.5%Gore17,570	49.7%Bush18,021	1.8%	R+1.2	R+7.0	36,228
1996	D	46.7%Clinton17,974	40.9%Dole15,751	11.7%Perot4,508	D+5.8	D+0.5	38,499
1992	D	42.8%Clinton18,050	37.6%Bush15,834	19.3%Perot8,141	D+5.3	D+11.9	42,161
1988	R	46.5%Dukakis19,192	53.1%Bush21,929	0.4%	R+6.6	D+10.8	41,293
1984	R	41.0%Mondale18,429	58.4%Reagan26,259	0.6%	R+17.4	R+6.9	44,973
1980	R	41.4%Carter19,261	51.9%Reagan24,133	6.7%	R+10.5	R+12.8	46,527
1976	D	50.8%Carter24,684	48.5%Ford23,555	0.8%	D+2.3	D+24.4	48,610
1972	R	38.6%McGovern18,898	60.7%Nixon29,730	0.7%	R+22.1	R+21.1	48,957
1968	R	43.6%Humphrey20,328	44.6%Nixon20,814	11.8%	R+1.0	R+19.4	46,664
1964	D	59.0%Johnson27,606	40.6%Goldwater19,001	0.3%	D+18.4	D+18.1	46,751
1960	D	50.0%Kennedy25,105	49.7%Nixon24,940	0.3%	D+0.3	D+1.5	50,178
1956	R	49.3%Stevenson24,680	50.4%Eisenhower25,253	0.3%	R+1.1	R+1.2	50,068
1952	D	49.8%Stevenson25,841	49.7%Eisenhower25,806	0.4%	D+0.1	R+15.0	51,878
1948	D	56.9%Truman25,906	41.8%Dewey19,049	1.3%	D+15.0	D+8.2	45,564
1944	D	53.3%Roosevelt24,649	46.5%Dewey21,493	0.2%	D+6.8	R+4.8	46,223
1940	D	55.6%Roosevelt29,308	44.0%Willkie23,177	0.4%	D+11.6	R+19.4	52,684
1936	D	65.1%Roosevelt33,018	34.1%Landon17,278	0.9%	D+31.0	D+14.3	50,738
1932	D	57.3%Roosevelt25,886	40.5%Hoover18,310	2.2%	D+16.8	D+27.4	45,187
1928	R	44.1%Smith18,509	54.7%Hoover22,962	1.2%	R+10.6	D+7.1	41,968
1924	R	35.1%Davis12,999	52.7%Coolidge19,545	11.7%La Follette4,320	R+17.7	R+9.8	37,059
1920	R	42.4%Cox15,739	50.3%Harding18,668	7.3%	R+7.9	R+17.8	37,114
1916	D	49.6%Wilson11,165	39.7%Hughes8,934	10.7%	D+9.9	R+13.1	22,496
1912	O	40.2%Wilson7,256	17.2%Taft3,103	42.6%	Roosevelt +2.5	D+20.9	18,060
1908	D	47.8%Bryan10,685	45.8%Taft10,223	6.4%	D+2.1	D+22.3	22,342
1904	R	36.1%Parker6,625	56.3%Roosevelt10,327	7.5%	R+20.2	R+16.9	18,332
1900	R	46.6%Bryan7,472	49.9%McKinley7,992	3.5%	R+3.2	R+0.3	16,023
1896	R	48.2%Bryan7,558	51.2%McKinley8,020	0.6%	R+2.9	R+6.4	15,672
1892	D	51.0%Cleveland6,599	47.6%Harrison6,159	1.3%	D+3.4	—	12,928
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

New York County

LatestD+64.2in 2024

Population1,629,4772024 ACS

County seatNew YorkNY

Most similarDistrict of ColumbiaDC · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+64.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 1,629,4772024 5-year
Population density: 71,783 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 22.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $103,9312024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 45.5%2024 5-year
Black: 12.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 24.4%2024 5-year
County seat: New York
Peak Democratic margin: D+76.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+30.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: District of Columbia, DC · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 55.3%666,530 participants ÷ 1,204,578 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +20.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 34.4%–39.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	673,111	1,165,063	57.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	558,711	1,169,957	47.8%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	699,428	1,186,147	59.0%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	459,549	1,208,342	38.0%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	666,530	1,204,578	55.3%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+26.8%
1896	−6.7%
1900	+8.3%
1904	+9.4%
1908	+1.5%
1912	+29.6%
1916	+9.9%
1920	−30.1%
1924	−1.6%
1928	+25.1%
1932	+39.1%
1936	+48.2%
1940	+23.9%
1944	+32.4%
1948	+18.8%
1952	+19.1%
1956	+11.5%
1960	+31.1%
1964	+61.3%
1968	+44.5%
1972	+32.9%
1976	+47.7%
1980	+36.2%
1984	+44.7%
1988	+53.3%
1992	+62.3%
1996	+66.2%
2000	+65.2%
2004	+65.3%
2008	+72.2%
2012	+68.8%
2016	+76.9%
2020	+74.5%
2024	+64.2%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	D	81.6%Harris533,782	17.4%Trump113,921	1.0%	D+64.2	R+10.3	654,372
2020	D	86.7%Biden603,040	12.3%Trump85,185	0.5%Jorgensen3,329	D+74.5	R+2.4	695,263
2016	D	86.6%Clinton579,013	9.7%Trump64,930	1.4%Stein9,441	D+76.9	D+8.0	668,940
2012	D	83.7%Obama502,674	14.9%Romney89,559	0.6%Stein3,860	D+68.8	R+3.4	600,291
2008	D	85.7%Obama572,126	13.5%McCain89,906	0.8%	D+72.2	D+6.9	667,594
2004	D	82.1%Kerry526,765	16.7%Bush107,405	1.2%	D+65.3	D+0.1	641,951
2000	D	79.6%Gore454,523	14.4%Bush82,113	5.5%Nader31,172	D+65.2	R+1.0	571,006
1996	D	80.0%Clinton394,131	13.8%Dole67,839	2.3%Perot11,144	D+66.2	D+3.9	492,899
1992	D	78.2%Clinton416,142	15.9%Bush84,501	5.2%Perot27,689	D+62.3	D+9.1	532,118
1988	D	76.1%Dukakis385,675	22.9%Bush115,927	1.0%	D+53.3	D+8.6	506,551
1984	D	72.1%Mondale379,521	27.4%Reagan144,281	0.5%	D+44.7	D+8.5	526,671
1980	D	62.4%Carter275,742	26.2%Reagan115,911	11.4%	D+36.2	R+11.5	441,898
1976	D	73.2%Carter337,438	25.5%Ford117,702	1.2%	D+47.7	D+14.8	460,838
1972	D	66.2%McGovern354,326	33.4%Nixon178,515	0.4%	D+32.9	R+11.6	534,863
1968	D	70.0%Humphrey370,806	25.6%Nixon135,458	4.4%	D+44.5	R+16.9	529,392
1964	D	80.5%Johnson503,848	19.2%Goldwater120,125	0.3%	D+61.3	D+30.2	625,719
1960	D	65.3%Kennedy414,902	34.2%Nixon217,271	0.5%	D+31.1	D+19.6	635,567
1956	D	55.7%Stevenson377,856	44.3%Eisenhower300,004	0.0%	D+11.5	R+7.7	677,860
1952	D	58.4%Stevenson446,727	39.2%Eisenhower300,284	2.4%	D+19.1	D+0.4	765,183
1948	D	51.5%Truman380,310	32.7%Dewey241,752	15.7%	D+18.8	R+13.7	738,270
1944	D	65.9%Roosevelt509,263	33.5%Dewey258,650	0.6%	D+32.4	D+8.6	772,777
1940	D	61.5%Roosevelt478,153	37.6%Willkie292,480	1.0%	D+23.9	R+24.3	778,099
1936	D	72.7%Roosevelt517,134	24.5%Landon174,299	2.8%	D+48.2	D+9.1	711,253
1932	D	66.9%Roosevelt378,077	27.8%Hoover157,014	5.3%	D+39.1	D+14.0	565,205
1928	D	60.8%Smith317,227	35.7%Hoover186,396	3.4%	D+25.1	D+26.7	521,558
1924	R	39.6%Davis183,249	41.2%Coolidge190,871	18.7%La Follette86,625	R+1.6	D+28.4	463,326
1920	R	29.1%Cox135,249	59.2%Harding275,013	11.7%	R+30.1	R+40.0	464,420
1916	D	52.5%Wilson139,547	42.6%Hughes113,254	4.8%	D+9.9	R+19.7	265,560
1912	D	47.8%Wilson166,157	18.2%Taft63,107	34.1%	D+29.6	D+28.1	347,655
1908	D	46.2%Bryan160,261	44.7%Taft154,958	9.1%	D+1.5	R+7.9	346,612
1904	D	51.5%Parker189,712	42.1%Roosevelt155,003	6.3%	D+9.4	D+1.1	368,072
1900	D	52.5%Bryan181,786	44.2%McKinley153,001	3.4%	D+8.3	D+15.0	346,487
1896	R	44.0%Bryan135,624	50.7%McKinley156,359	5.3%	R+6.7	R+33.5	308,232
1892	D	61.5%Cleveland175,267	34.7%Harrison98,967	3.8%	D+26.8	—	284,984
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

Biggest differences

Top 9 deltas, ranked by absolute magnitude.
Metric	Vigo County	New York County
Population	106,109	1,629,477
Median household income	$52,976	$103,931
Latest presidential margin	R+18.1	D+64.2
White (non-Hispanic)	84.0%	45.5%
Hispanic / Latino	3.2%	24.4%
Asian	2.1%	12.4%
Black	5.8%	12.5%
Poverty rate (overall)	19.2%	16.5%
Median age	36.3	38.9

Vigo County vs New York County

Side-by-side: the political memory, the demographic profile, and the deepest deltas between these two places.

Vigo County

LatestR+18.1in 2024

Population106,1092024 ACS

Most similarShiawassee CountyMI · twin score 96.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+18.1MIT Election Lab
Population: 106,1092024 5-year
Population density: 263 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 404 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $52,9762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 84.0%2024 5-year
Black: 5.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+31.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+22.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Shiawassee County, MI · twin score 96.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 49.8%41,228 participants ÷ 82,716 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +20.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 29.9%–42.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	40,882	83,604	48.9%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	45,930	83,446	55.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	44,250	83,388	53.1%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	27,464	83,000	33.1%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	41,228	82,716	49.8%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+3.4%
1896	−2.9%
1900	−3.2%
1904	−20.2%
1908	+2.1%
1912	+23.0%
1916	+9.9%
1920	−7.9%
1924	−17.7%
1928	−10.6%
1932	+16.8%
1936	+31.0%
1940	+11.6%
1944	+6.8%
1948	+15.0%
1952	+0.1%
1956	−1.1%
1960	+0.3%
1964	+18.4%
1968	−1.0%
1972	−22.1%
1976	+2.3%
1980	−10.5%
1984	−17.4%
1988	−6.6%
1992	+5.3%
1996	+5.8%
2000	−1.2%
2004	−6.4%
2008	+15.8%
2012	+0.9%
2016	−15.0%
2020	−14.7%
2024	−18.1%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	R	39.9%Harris16,338	58.0%Trump23,738	1.3%Kennedy534 +4	R+18.1	R+3.4	40,914
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican58.0%23,738 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic39.9%16,338 Robert F KennedyIndependent1.3%534 Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%267 Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%21 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%13 Cornel WestIndependent0.0%3
2020	R	41.6%Biden18,123	56.3%Trump24,545	2.1%Jorgensen900	R+14.7	D+0.2	43,594
2016	R	39.7%Clinton15,922	54.7%Trump21,924	4.3%Johnson1,723	R+15.0	R+15.8	40,105
2012	D	49.3%Obama19,712	48.4%Romney19,369	1.9%Johnson768	D+0.9	R+15.0	40,005
2008	D	57.3%Obama25,040	41.5%McCain18,121	1.2%	D+15.8	D+22.3	43,706
2004	R	46.4%Kerry18,426	52.8%Bush20,988	0.8%	R+6.4	R+5.2	39,744
2000	R	48.5%Gore17,570	49.7%Bush18,021	1.8%	R+1.2	R+7.0	36,228
1996	D	46.7%Clinton17,974	40.9%Dole15,751	11.7%Perot4,508	D+5.8	D+0.5	38,499
1992	D	42.8%Clinton18,050	37.6%Bush15,834	19.3%Perot8,141	D+5.3	D+11.9	42,161
1988	R	46.5%Dukakis19,192	53.1%Bush21,929	0.4%	R+6.6	D+10.8	41,293
1984	R	41.0%Mondale18,429	58.4%Reagan26,259	0.6%	R+17.4	R+6.9	44,973
1980	R	41.4%Carter19,261	51.9%Reagan24,133	6.7%	R+10.5	R+12.8	46,527
1976	D	50.8%Carter24,684	48.5%Ford23,555	0.8%	D+2.3	D+24.4	48,610
1972	R	38.6%McGovern18,898	60.7%Nixon29,730	0.7%	R+22.1	R+21.1	48,957
1968	R	43.6%Humphrey20,328	44.6%Nixon20,814	11.8%	R+1.0	R+19.4	46,664
1964	D	59.0%Johnson27,606	40.6%Goldwater19,001	0.3%	D+18.4	D+18.1	46,751
1960	D	50.0%Kennedy25,105	49.7%Nixon24,940	0.3%	D+0.3	D+1.5	50,178
1956	R	49.3%Stevenson24,680	50.4%Eisenhower25,253	0.3%	R+1.1	R+1.2	50,068
1952	D	49.8%Stevenson25,841	49.7%Eisenhower25,806	0.4%	D+0.1	R+15.0	51,878
1948	D	56.9%Truman25,906	41.8%Dewey19,049	1.3%	D+15.0	D+8.2	45,564
1944	D	53.3%Roosevelt24,649	46.5%Dewey21,493	0.2%	D+6.8	R+4.8	46,223
1940	D	55.6%Roosevelt29,308	44.0%Willkie23,177	0.4%	D+11.6	R+19.4	52,684
1936	D	65.1%Roosevelt33,018	34.1%Landon17,278	0.9%	D+31.0	D+14.3	50,738
1932	D	57.3%Roosevelt25,886	40.5%Hoover18,310	2.2%	D+16.8	D+27.4	45,187
1928	R	44.1%Smith18,509	54.7%Hoover22,962	1.2%	R+10.6	D+7.1	41,968
1924	R	35.1%Davis12,999	52.7%Coolidge19,545	11.7%La Follette4,320	R+17.7	R+9.8	37,059
1920	R	42.4%Cox15,739	50.3%Harding18,668	7.3%	R+7.9	R+17.8	37,114
1916	D	49.6%Wilson11,165	39.7%Hughes8,934	10.7%	D+9.9	R+13.1	22,496
1912	O	40.2%Wilson7,256	17.2%Taft3,103	42.6%	Roosevelt +2.5	D+20.9	18,060
1908	D	47.8%Bryan10,685	45.8%Taft10,223	6.4%	D+2.1	D+22.3	22,342
1904	R	36.1%Parker6,625	56.3%Roosevelt10,327	7.5%	R+20.2	R+16.9	18,332
1900	R	46.6%Bryan7,472	49.9%McKinley7,992	3.5%	R+3.2	R+0.3	16,023
1896	R	48.2%Bryan7,558	51.2%McKinley8,020	0.6%	R+2.9	R+6.4	15,672
1892	D	51.0%Cleveland6,599	47.6%Harrison6,159	1.3%	D+3.4	—	12,928
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

New York County

LatestD+64.2in 2024

Population1,629,4772024 ACS

County seatNew YorkNY

Most similarDistrict of ColumbiaDC · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+64.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 1,629,4772024 5-year
Population density: 71,783 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 22.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $103,9312024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 45.5%2024 5-year
Black: 12.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 24.4%2024 5-year
County seat: New York
Peak Democratic margin: D+76.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+30.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: District of Columbia, DC · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 55.3%666,530 participants ÷ 1,204,578 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +20.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 34.4%–39.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	673,111	1,165,063	57.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	558,711	1,169,957	47.8%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	699,428	1,186,147	59.0%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	459,549	1,208,342	38.0%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	666,530	1,204,578	55.3%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+26.8%
1896	−6.7%
1900	+8.3%
1904	+9.4%
1908	+1.5%
1912	+29.6%
1916	+9.9%
1920	−30.1%
1924	−1.6%
1928	+25.1%
1932	+39.1%
1936	+48.2%
1940	+23.9%
1944	+32.4%
1948	+18.8%
1952	+19.1%
1956	+11.5%
1960	+31.1%
1964	+61.3%
1968	+44.5%
1972	+32.9%
1976	+47.7%
1980	+36.2%
1984	+44.7%
1988	+53.3%
1992	+62.3%
1996	+66.2%
2000	+65.2%
2004	+65.3%
2008	+72.2%
2012	+68.8%
2016	+76.9%
2020	+74.5%
2024	+64.2%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	D	81.6%Harris533,782	17.4%Trump113,921	1.0%	D+64.2	R+10.3	654,372
2020	D	86.7%Biden603,040	12.3%Trump85,185	0.5%Jorgensen3,329	D+74.5	R+2.4	695,263
2016	D	86.6%Clinton579,013	9.7%Trump64,930	1.4%Stein9,441	D+76.9	D+8.0	668,940
2012	D	83.7%Obama502,674	14.9%Romney89,559	0.6%Stein3,860	D+68.8	R+3.4	600,291
2008	D	85.7%Obama572,126	13.5%McCain89,906	0.8%	D+72.2	D+6.9	667,594
2004	D	82.1%Kerry526,765	16.7%Bush107,405	1.2%	D+65.3	D+0.1	641,951
2000	D	79.6%Gore454,523	14.4%Bush82,113	5.5%Nader31,172	D+65.2	R+1.0	571,006
1996	D	80.0%Clinton394,131	13.8%Dole67,839	2.3%Perot11,144	D+66.2	D+3.9	492,899
1992	D	78.2%Clinton416,142	15.9%Bush84,501	5.2%Perot27,689	D+62.3	D+9.1	532,118
1988	D	76.1%Dukakis385,675	22.9%Bush115,927	1.0%	D+53.3	D+8.6	506,551
1984	D	72.1%Mondale379,521	27.4%Reagan144,281	0.5%	D+44.7	D+8.5	526,671
1980	D	62.4%Carter275,742	26.2%Reagan115,911	11.4%	D+36.2	R+11.5	441,898
1976	D	73.2%Carter337,438	25.5%Ford117,702	1.2%	D+47.7	D+14.8	460,838
1972	D	66.2%McGovern354,326	33.4%Nixon178,515	0.4%	D+32.9	R+11.6	534,863
1968	D	70.0%Humphrey370,806	25.6%Nixon135,458	4.4%	D+44.5	R+16.9	529,392
1964	D	80.5%Johnson503,848	19.2%Goldwater120,125	0.3%	D+61.3	D+30.2	625,719
1960	D	65.3%Kennedy414,902	34.2%Nixon217,271	0.5%	D+31.1	D+19.6	635,567
1956	D	55.7%Stevenson377,856	44.3%Eisenhower300,004	0.0%	D+11.5	R+7.7	677,860
1952	D	58.4%Stevenson446,727	39.2%Eisenhower300,284	2.4%	D+19.1	D+0.4	765,183
1948	D	51.5%Truman380,310	32.7%Dewey241,752	15.7%	D+18.8	R+13.7	738,270
1944	D	65.9%Roosevelt509,263	33.5%Dewey258,650	0.6%	D+32.4	D+8.6	772,777
1940	D	61.5%Roosevelt478,153	37.6%Willkie292,480	1.0%	D+23.9	R+24.3	778,099
1936	D	72.7%Roosevelt517,134	24.5%Landon174,299	2.8%	D+48.2	D+9.1	711,253
1932	D	66.9%Roosevelt378,077	27.8%Hoover157,014	5.3%	D+39.1	D+14.0	565,205
1928	D	60.8%Smith317,227	35.7%Hoover186,396	3.4%	D+25.1	D+26.7	521,558
1924	R	39.6%Davis183,249	41.2%Coolidge190,871	18.7%La Follette86,625	R+1.6	D+28.4	463,326
1920	R	29.1%Cox135,249	59.2%Harding275,013	11.7%	R+30.1	R+40.0	464,420
1916	D	52.5%Wilson139,547	42.6%Hughes113,254	4.8%	D+9.9	R+19.7	265,560
1912	D	47.8%Wilson166,157	18.2%Taft63,107	34.1%	D+29.6	D+28.1	347,655
1908	D	46.2%Bryan160,261	44.7%Taft154,958	9.1%	D+1.5	R+7.9	346,612
1904	D	51.5%Parker189,712	42.1%Roosevelt155,003	6.3%	D+9.4	D+1.1	368,072
1900	D	52.5%Bryan181,786	44.2%McKinley153,001	3.4%	D+8.3	D+15.0	346,487
1896	R	44.0%Bryan135,624	50.7%McKinley156,359	5.3%	R+6.7	R+33.5	308,232
1892	D	61.5%Cleveland175,267	34.7%Harrison98,967	3.8%	D+26.8	—	284,984
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

Biggest differences

Top 9 deltas, ranked by absolute magnitude.
Metric	Vigo County	New York County
Population	106,109	1,629,477
Median household income	$52,976	$103,931
Latest presidential margin	R+18.1	D+64.2
White (non-Hispanic)	84.0%	45.5%
Hispanic / Latino	3.2%	24.4%
Asian	2.1%	12.4%
Black	5.8%	12.5%
Poverty rate (overall)	19.2%	16.5%
Median age	36.3	38.9