DC
District of Columbia
LatestD+83.8in 2024
Population681,2942024 ACS
Most similarSt. Louis cityMO · twin score 100.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+83.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 681,2942024 5-year
- Population density
- 11,150 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 61.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $109,8702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 41.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Louis city, MO · twin score 100.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.9%328,871 participants ÷ 506,635 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.1%–43.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 311,841 | 494,088 | 63.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 231,700 | 511,190 | 45.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 346,491 | 528,025 | 65.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 205,774 | 503,684 | 40.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 328,871 | 506,635 | 64.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1964 | +71.0% |
| 1968 | +63.6% |
| 1972 | +56.5% |
| 1976 | +65.1% |
| 1980 | +61.5% |
| 1984 | +71.7% |
| 1988 | +68.3% |
| 1992 | +75.5% |
| 1996 | +75.9% |
| 2000 | +76.2% |
| 2004 | +79.8% |
| 2008 | +85.9% |
| 2012 | +83.6% |
| 2016 | +86.8% |
| 2020 | +86.8% |
| 2024 | +83.8% |