akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Ohio

Ohio 1st Congressional District delivered R+4 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Cincinnati's home district has trended Republican by double digits since 2012

18762024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
659,853
2024 ACS

Ohio 1st Congressional District, Ohio: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
659,8532024 5-year
Median household income
$86,7392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
70.6%2024 5-year
Black
16.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+14 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 1924MIT Election Lab
D
LANDSMAN, GregCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: CHABOT, Steve (2021–2023), CHABOT, Steve (2019–2021), CHABOT, Steve (2017–2019), CHABOT, Steve (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.0%
162,252176,164344,609
R
−2.3%
167,560175,744348,690
R
−7.1%
140,151163,317325,393
R
−9.5%
141,406171,937319,944
R
−7.5%
144,503168,151316,134
R
−17.6%
124,552177,860303,606
R
−19.6%
98,854149,044255,507
R
−12.1%
96,248125,213238,962
R
−14.4%
86,757122,938251,822
R
−27.9%
80,386143,407225,540
R
−31.7%
78,270151,350230,885
R
−23.3%
75,002124,539212,402
R
−19.6%
80,247120,340204,120
R
−34.9%
65,674138,221207,660
R
−14.5%
73,384103,244206,319
D
+10.0%
110,64290,497201,139
R
−11.1%
94,878118,632213,509
R
−32.1%
63,333123,197186,530
R
−19.7%
76,508113,989190,497
R
−6.1%
72,53682,104155,693
R
−4.9%
77,03785,045162,082
R
−2.8%
80,35685,057165,413
D
+14.3%
82,74760,889153,055
D
+0.2%
66,28166,031136,042
R
−17.8%
56,79681,491138,840
R
−42.6%
19,63163,931103,990
R
−19.1%
42,23863,008108,661
R
−10.0%
28,58535,19865,876
R
−0.5%
23,26923,56760,508
R
−17.0%
25,06835,70962,716
R
−40.4%
14,31436,51154,893
R
−16.6%
22,52131,67455,222
R
−20.5%
21,62232,86854,828
R
−6.8%
21,34024,50946,926
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R46.5%50.1%5,704,620
2022R46.9%53.0%4,133,342
2018D53.4%46.6%4,410,898
2016R37.2%58.0%5,374,164
2012D50.7%44.7%5,449,018
2010R39.4%56.8%3,815,098
2006D56.2%43.8%4,019,236
2004R36.1%63.8%5,425,823
2000R35.9%59.9%4,448,801
1998R43.5%56.5%3,404,351
1994R39.2%53.4%3,436,884
1992D51.0%42.3%4,793,953
1988D57.0%43.0%4,352,905
1986D62.5%37.5%3,121,189
1982D56.7%41.1%3,395,463
1980D68.8%28.2%4,027,303
1976D49.5%46.5%3,920,613

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.2%
Irish
12.1%
English
11.4%
American
4.4%
Italian
4.1%
Polish
2.0%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.9%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.0%
Spanish2.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
26.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
20.7%
Baptist
4.2%
Non-Christian
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
2.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.1%
Methodist
2.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 39.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Ohio's 1st anchors on Hamilton County, where Cincinnati's urban core is offset by conservative suburban and exurban precincts — a tension that has steadily widened the Republican margin over the past three election cycles.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fourteen points in 1936; the Republican margin reached forty-three points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 659,853, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $86,739 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3901/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Ohio voted Republican by 4.0 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 344,609 votes cast, 162,252 went Democratic and 176,164 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, Ohio as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 31 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 1, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Ohio voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Ohio?
Congressional District 1, Ohio has a population of 659,853 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Ohio?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Ohio is $86,739 — above the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 31 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.