HarrisDemocratic50.2%44,222TrumpRepublican48.2%42,458KennedyIndependent1.1%980
D+2.0- Lead
- 1,764
- Total
- 88,141
- vs nation
- D+3.5
Akashicmetro area
Dover, DE
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic51.2%44,552TrumpRepublican47.1%41,009OtherAll other candidates1.7%1,464
D+4.1- Lead
- 3,543
- Total
- 87,025
- vs nation
- R+0.4
ClintonDemocratic44.9%33,351TrumpRepublican49.8%36,991OtherAll other candidates5.3%3,918
R+4.9- Lead
- 3,640
- Total
- 74,260
- vs nation
- R+7.0
ObamaDemocratic51.7%35,527RomneyRepublican46.8%32,135OtherAll other candidates1.5%1,010
D+4.9- Lead
- 3,392
- Total
- 68,672
- vs nation
- D+1.1
ObamaDemocratic54.4%36,392McCainRepublican44.6%29,827OtherAll other candidates1.1%706
D+9.8- Lead
- 6,565
- Total
- 66,925
- vs nation
- D+2.5
KerryDemocratic42.6%23,875BushRepublican56.4%31,578OtherAll other candidates1.0%538
R+13.8- Lead
- 7,703
- Total
- 55,991
- vs nation
- R+11.3
GoreDemocratic47.2%22,790BushRepublican49.9%24,081OtherAll other candidates2.9%1,383
R+2.7- Lead
- 1,291
- Total
- 48,254
- vs nation
- R+3.2
ClintonDemocratic46.7%18,327DoleRepublican40.6%15,932OtherAll other candidates12.7%4,993
D+6.1- Lead
- 2,395
- Total
- 39,252
- vs nation
- R+2.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 187,6042024 5-year
- Population density
- 320 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 586 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,4772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 26.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.2 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hinesville, GA · twin score 81.6
presidential history
Party record book
Dover, DE · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
58.9%
12,981 votes · D+18.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 57.0%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
64.5%
21,531 votes · R+29.2
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 62.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
44,552votes
51.2% of the vote · D+4.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 44,222 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
42,458votes
48.2% of the vote · D+2.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 41,009 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+31.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+5.0 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +25.5 pts
Republican
George H. W. Bush1988
+13.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+20.9 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +11.3 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+10.5
Presidential vote · 2024D+2.0
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 8.5 points more Republican than the rolls.
147,687 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,393 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +20,131 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,098 |
| 2012 | +1,040 |
| 2013 | +747 |
| 2014 | +1,371 |
| 2015 | +594 |
| 2016 | +444 |
| 2017 | +1,237 |
| 2018 | +1,502 |
| 2019 | +1,812 |
| 2021 | +2,941 |
| 2022 | +2,494 |
| 2023 | +1,696 |
| 2024 | +1,762 |
| 2025 | +1,393 |
The Dover metro, anchored by a large military and state-government workforce, recorded a 19.9-point Republican margin in 2024 — a striking result inside one of the most reliably Democratic states on the national map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 29.2 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.0 points.
A population of 187,604, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,477 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hinesville, GA and Salisbury, MD.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Hinesville, GA
81.6twin score
elasticity2020–2024 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ median age
Salisbury, MD
81.0twin score
% Black12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Virginia Beach-Chesapeake-Norfolk, VA-NC
79.1twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% Black≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dover, DE, Delaware. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Dover, DE, Delaware vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dover, DE, Delaware voted Democratic by 2.0 points (D+2.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 88,141 votes cast, 44,222 went Democratic and 42,458 went Republican.
When did Dover, DE, Delaware last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Dover, DE, Delaware voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Dover, DE, Delaware?
Dover, DE, Delaware has a population of 187,604 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dover, DE, Delaware?
Median household income in Dover, DE, Delaware is $74,477 — below the national median of $80,734. The Delaware state median is $84,954.
What is the political history of Dover, DE, Delaware?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Dover, DE, Delaware from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.