Akashic
1876–2024
U.S. Senate / Class 2

Idaho — U.S. Senate

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Safe R

We expect Republican to win 95%.

RatingSafe R
Win probabilityR 95%
Predicted marginR+36.5
The substrate
2024 baselineR+36.5
2020 resultR+29.4
Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the ID state page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All U.S. Senate races →