MA-04 — U.S. House

Name: MA-04 — U.S. House — 2026 forecast — ratings + simulated seat distribution
Creator: Akashic
License: https://akashic.app/LICENSE.txt

The call

Safe D

We expect Democratic to win — 96%.

RatingSafe D

Win probabilityD 96%

Predicted margin—

The substrate

2024 baselineD+19.4

2024 resultD+19.4

Seat held byDemocratic

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the MA-04 place page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All U.S. House races →