AkashicLA-06 — U.S. House
We expect Republicans to win96%The call
We expect Republicans to win.
What the market is pricing
via PolymarketRaw Democratic YES price 8%; raw Republican YES price 89%.
No model-versus-market gap is calculated until both systems represent every independent and Other outcome.
Raw YES prices from live Polymarket markets; D and R are not renormalized · as of Aug 1, 2026 · a market price is trader sentiment, not Akashic’s forecast. See the market on Polymarket → · How implied probability works →
| Candidate | Raised |
|---|---|
| Cleo FieldsDIncumbent | |
| Christian JohnsonR | not yet filing |
Receipts, cash on hand, and outside (independent-expenditure) spending from the Federal Election Commission. Bars are scaled within this race. Incumbent Cleo Fields (D) running for re-election, but the new 2026 map (SB 121) dismantled this majority-Black district, clustering it around predominantly white Baton Rouge / southern Louisiana communities and making it strongly Republican-leaning (~R+11), so Fields faces longshot odds. Louisiana uses an OPEN all-party primary on Nov 3, 2026 (runoff Dec 12). Candidate qualifying is Aug 5-7, 2026; additional Republicans expected. Christian Johnson is a declared Republican candidate. The field and its fundraising will keep updating as primaries settle and new FEC reports land.
The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the LA-06 place page.
On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All U.S. House races → · The certified U.S. House record →