IA-03 — U.S. House

Name: IA-03 — U.S. House — 2026 forecast — ratings + simulated seat distribution
Creator: Akashic
License: https://akashic.app/LICENSE.txt

The call

Lean D

We expect Democratic to win — 81%.

RatingLean D

Win probabilityD 81%

Predicted margin—

The substrate

2024 baselineR+4.4

2024 resultR+4.4

Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the IA-03 place page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All U.S. House races →