Akashic
1876–2024
Governors / Governor

South Dakota — Governor

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Safe R

We expect Republican to win 97%.

RatingSafe R
Win probabilityR 97%
Predicted marginR+29.2
The substrate
2024 baselineR+29.2
2022 resultD+26.8
Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the SD state page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All Governors races →