Akashic
1876–2024
Governors / Governor

South Carolina — Governor

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Safe R

We expect Republican to win 88%.

RatingSafe R
Win probabilityR 88%
Predicted marginR+17.9
The substrate
2024 baselineR+17.9
2022 resultD+17.4
Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the SC state page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All Governors races →