Akashic
1892–2024

Fairfax County vs McDowell County

Side-by-side: the political memory, the demographic profile, and the deepest deltas between these two places.

VA

Fairfax County

LatestD+34.7in 2024
Population1,147,8372024 ACS
Most similarFairfax cityVA · twin score 99.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+34.7MIT Election Lab
Population
1,147,8372024 5-year
Median household income
$153,6372024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
46.8%2024 5-year
Black
9.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
17.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+60.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34.2 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Fairfax city, VA · twin score 99.0
presidential history
Margin, 1876–2024
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +34.7% in 2024.flipped D · 2004+34.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+16.9%
1896+5.8%
1900+17.2%
1904+29.1%
1908+47.4%
1912+60.2%
1916+42.4%
1920+23.3%
1924+32.2%
1928−34.2%
1932+32.4%
1936+29.4%
1940+15.8%
1944−6.1%
1948−12.8%
1952−21.9%
1956−13.8%
1960−3.6%
1964+22.5%
1968−10.8%
1972−33.9%
1976−8.9%
1980−26.7%
1984−26.1%
1988−22.8%
1992−2.7%
1996−1.6%
2000−1.4%
2004+7.3%
2008+21.2%
2012+20.5%
2016+35.8%
2020+41.9%
2024+34.7%
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
65.6%Harris386,438
30.9%Trump181,895
1.8%Stein10,662
+34.7%
589,427
D
69.9%Biden419,943
28.0%Trump168,401
1.3%Jorgensen8,014
+41.9%
600,823
D
64.4%Clinton355,133
28.6%Trump157,710
2.8%Johnson15,664
+35.8%
551,183
D
59.6%Obama315,273
39.1%Romney206,773
1.4%Johnson7,241
+20.5%
529,287
D
60.1%Obama310,359
38.9%McCain200,994
0.9%Nader4,901
+21.2%
516,254
D
53.2%Kerry245,671
45.9%Bush211,980
0.8%Badnarik3,728
+7.3%
461,379
R
47.5%Gore196,501
48.9%Bush202,181
2.9%Nader12,201
−1.4%
413,775
R
46.6%Clinton170,150
48.2%Dole176,033
4.4%Perot16,134
−1.6%
365,263
R
41.6%Clinton160,186
44.3%Bush170,488
13.8%Perot53,012
−2.7%
385,218
R
38.3%Dukakis125,711
61.1%Bush200,641
0.6%Fulani2,013
−22.8%
328,365
R
36.8%Mondale107,295
62.9%Reagan183,181
0.3%Larouche822
−26.1%
291,298
R
30.8%Carter73,734
57.4%Reagan137,620
11.8%Anderson28,351
−26.7%
239,705
R
44.7%Carter92,037
53.6%Ford110,424
1.7%Camejo3,496
−8.9%
205,957
R
32.4%McGovern54,844
66.3%Nixon112,135
1.3%Schmitz2,267
−33.9%
169,246
R
38.2%Humphrey44,796
49.0%Nixon57,462
12.8%Wallace15,061
−10.8%
117,319
D
61.2%Johnson48,680
38.7%Goldwater30,755
0.1%Hass82
+22.5%
79,517
R
48.1%Kennedy26,064
51.7%Nixon28,006
0.3%Byrd149
−3.6%
54,219
R
41.9%Stevenson15,633
55.7%Eisenhower20,761
2.3%Andrews873
−13.8%
37,267
R
39.0%Stevenson8,329
60.9%Eisenhower13,020
0.1%Hallinan30
−21.9%
21,379
R
39.2%Truman3,719
52.0%Dewey4,930
8.9%Thurmond840
−12.8%
9,489
R
46.8%Roosevelt3,582
52.8%Dewey4,046
0.4%Thomas34
−6.1%
7,662
D
57.7%Roosevelt3,263
41.9%Willkie2,371
0.5%Thomas26
+15.8%
5,660
D
64.3%Roosevelt2,913
35.0%Landon1,584
0.7%Lemke30
+29.4%
4,527
D
65.3%Roosevelt2,714
32.9%Hoover1,368
1.7%Thomas72
+32.4%
4,154
R
32.9%Smith1,229
67.1%Hoover2,507
0.0%
−34.2%
3,736
D
62.2%Davis1,586
30.0%Coolidge765
7.8%La Follette199
+32.2%
2,550
D
61.1%Cox1,598
37.7%Harding987
1.2%Debs32
+23.3%
2,617
D
70.8%Wilson1,179
28.3%Hughes472
0.9%Benson15
+42.4%
1,666
D
74.1%Wilson992
14.0%Taft187
11.9%Roosevelt159
+60.2%
1,338
D
73.3%Bryan1,143
25.9%Taft404
0.8%Debs13
+47.4%
1,560
D
63.9%Parker774
34.8%Roosevelt422
1.2%Debs15
+29.1%
1,211
D
58.4%Bryan2,135
41.2%McKinley1,507
0.4%Woolley14
+17.2%
3,656
D
52.5%Bryan2,109
46.7%McKinley1,877
0.7%Palmer30
+5.8%
4,016
D
58.1%Cleveland2,168
41.2%Harrison1,537
0.7%Weaver25
+16.9%
3,730
No data
No data
No data
No data
WV

McDowell County

LatestR+60.4in 2024
Population17,9432024 ACS
County seatWelchWV
Most similarBoone CountyWV · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+60.4MIT Election Lab
Population
17,9432024 5-year
Median household income
$31,5592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.5%2024 5-year
Black
8.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.1%2024 5-year
County seat
Welch
Peak Democratic margin
D+66.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+60.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Boone County, WV · twin score 100.0
presidential history
Margin, 1876–2024
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −60.4% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−60.4%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−35.1%
1896−45.5%
1900−51.0%
1904−51.2%
1908−52.4%
1912−19.8%
1916−31.4%
1920−41.3%
1924−34.8%
1928−28.2%
1932−13.0%
1936+43.7%
1940+27.5%
1944+27.3%
1948+37.7%
1952+39.6%
1956+20.5%
1960+49.7%
1964+66.1%
1968+46.6%
1972−13.5%
1976+44.0%
1980+42.7%
1984+33.1%
1988+48.8%
1992+51.9%
1996+54.1%
2000+34.2%
2004+23.8%
2008+8.5%
2012−29.9%
2016−51.1%
2020−58.4%
2024−60.4%
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
19.1%Harris1,036
79.4%Trump4,310
1.0%Kennedy54
−60.4%
5,425
R
20.4%Biden1,333
78.9%Trump5,148
0.4%Jorgensen29
−58.4%
6,527
R
23.0%Clinton1,438
74.1%Trump4,629
1.4%Johnson90
−51.1%
6,246
R
34.1%Obama2,109
64.0%Romney3,959
1.9%Johnson120
−29.9%
6,188
D
53.3%Obama3,430
44.8%McCain2,882
1.8%Nader118
+8.5%
6,430
D
61.7%Kerry4,501
37.8%Bush2,762
0.5%Nader36
+23.8%
7,299
D
66.3%Gore4,845
32.2%Bush2,348
0.9%Nader67
+34.2%
7,303
D
73.0%Clinton5,989
18.9%Dole1,550
8.0%Perot655
+54.1%
8,208
D
71.8%Clinton7,019
19.8%Bush1,941
8.2%Perot803
+51.9%
9,781
D
74.2%Dukakis7,204
25.4%Bush2,463
0.5%Fulani47
+48.8%
9,714
D
66.3%Mondale8,546
33.3%Reagan4,284
0.4%Richards53
+33.1%
12,883
D
70.4%Carter9,822
27.7%Reagan3,862
1.9%Anderson259
+42.7%
13,943
D
72.0%Carter10,557
28.0%Ford4,107
0.0%
+44.0%
14,664
R
43.2%McGovern6,811
56.8%Nixon8,942
0.0%
−13.5%
15,753
D
67.8%Humphrey12,842
21.2%Nixon4,020
11.0%Wallace2,075
+46.6%
18,937
D
83.0%Johnson18,046
17.0%Goldwater3,684
0.0%
+66.1%
21,730
D
74.8%Kennedy19,501
25.2%Nixon6,555
0.0%
+49.7%
26,056
D
60.2%Stevenson16,865
39.8%Eisenhower11,138
0.0%
+20.5%
28,003
D
69.8%Stevenson24,657
30.2%Eisenhower10,663
0.0%
+39.6%
35,320
D
68.5%Truman21,545
30.8%Dewey9,687
0.8%Thurmond240
+37.7%
31,472
D
63.6%Roosevelt19,300
36.4%Dewey11,023
0.0%
+27.3%
30,323
D
63.7%Roosevelt24,449
36.3%Willkie13,906
0.0%
+27.5%
38,355
D
71.8%Roosevelt25,471
28.1%Landon9,975
0.1%Lemke35
+43.7%
35,481
R
43.4%Roosevelt12,365
56.4%Hoover16,069
0.3%Thomas80
−13.0%
28,514
R
35.9%Smith8,294
64.0%Hoover14,810
0.1%Thomas31
−28.2%
23,135
R
28.2%Davis5,561
63.0%Coolidge12,422
8.9%La Follette1,749
−34.8%
19,732
R
29.3%Cox5,068
70.6%Harding12,198
0.1%Debs16
−41.3%
17,282
R
34.2%Wilson3,692
65.6%Hughes7,086
0.2%Benson20
−31.4%
10,798
R
26.8%Wilson2,497
46.5%Taft4,341
26.7%Roosevelt2,489
−19.8%
9,327
R
23.5%Bryan1,916
75.9%Taft6,176
0.6%Debs45
−52.4%
8,137
R
24.2%Parker1,676
75.3%Roosevelt5,225
0.5%Debs36
−51.2%
6,937
R
24.4%Bryan1,218
75.4%McKinley3,761
0.2%Woolley11
−51.0%
4,990
R
27.2%Bryan986
72.6%McKinley2,635
0.2%Palmer6
−45.5%
3,627
R
32.4%Cleveland607
67.6%Harrison1,265
0.0%
−35.1%
1,872
No data
No data
No data
No data

Biggest differences

Top 9 deltas, ranked by absolute magnitude.
MetricFairfax CountyMcDowell County
Population1,147,83717,943
Median household income$153,637$31,559
Latest presidential marginD+34.7R+60.4
White (non-Hispanic)46.8%86.5%
Poverty rate (overall)5.9%34.2%
Asian19.9%0.1%
Hispanic / Latino17.6%2.1%
Median age39.143.7
Black9.4%8.8%