Cook County vs New York County

Side-by-side: the political memory, the demographic profile, and the deepest deltas between these two places.

Cook County

LatestD+41.6in 2024

Population5,182,0902024 ACS

County seatChicagoIL

Most similarAllendale CountySC · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+41.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 5,182,0902024 5-year
Population density: 5,484 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 945 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $83,4982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 40.1%2024 5-year
Black: 21.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 26.8%2024 5-year
County seat: Chicago
Peak Democratic margin: D+53.4 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+49.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Allendale County, SC · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 57.9%2,079,239 participants ÷ 3,590,883 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +25.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 32.8%–39.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	2,180,344	3,511,326	62.1%	C/A
2018 · Midterm	1,756,583	3,546,042	49.5%	C/A
2020 · Presidential	2,325,405	3,550,976	65.5%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	1,462,222	3,616,987	40.4%	C/A
2024 · Presidential	2,079,239	3,590,883	57.9%	C/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+12.8%
1896	−18.4%
1900	−4.4%
1904	−32.1%
1908	−18.6%
1912	+13.0%
1916	−6.6%
1920	−49.0%
1924	−41.6%
1928	−6.2%
1932	+13.8%
1936	+27.5%
1940	+10.9%
1944	+15.9%
1948	+8.9%
1952	−0.7%
1956	−13.9%
1960	+13.0%
1964	+26.4%
1968	+9.5%
1972	−7.4%
1976	+8.7%
1980	+12.4%
1984	+2.6%
1988	+12.4%
1992	+30.0%
1996	+40.1%
2000	+40.0%
2004	+41.1%
2008	+53.4%
2012	+49.3%
2016	+53.1%
2020	+50.2%
2024	+41.6%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	D	69.6%Harris1,447,821	28.1%Trump583,852	1.2%Kennedy25,127	D+41.6	R+8.7	2,079,239
2020	D	74.2%Biden1,725,973	24.0%Trump558,269	0.8%Jorgensen17,657	D+50.2	R+2.9	2,325,405
2016	D	73.9%Clinton1,611,946	20.8%Trump453,287	2.7%Johnson58,678	D+53.1	D+3.9	2,180,344
2012	D	73.9%Obama1,488,537	24.6%Romney495,542	0.8%JOHNSON15,845	D+49.3	R+4.1	2,014,819
2008	D	76.2%Obama1,629,024	22.8%McCain487,736	1.0%	D+53.4	D+12.3	2,137,466
2004	D	70.2%Kerry1,439,724	29.1%Bush597,405	0.6%	D+41.1	D+1.1	2,049,434
2000	D	68.6%Gore1,280,547	28.6%Bush534,542	2.3%Nader42,068	D+40.0	R+0.1	1,865,907
1996	D	66.8%Clinton1,153,289	26.7%Dole461,557	5.6%Perot96,633	D+40.1	D+10.1	1,726,666
1992	D	58.2%Clinton1,249,533	28.2%Bush605,300	13.1%Perot281,999	D+30.0	D+17.6	2,146,655
1988	D	55.8%Dukakis1,129,973	43.4%Bush878,582	0.9%	D+12.4	D+9.8	2,026,144
1984	D	51.0%Mondale1,112,641	48.4%Reagan1,055,558	0.6%	D+2.6	R+9.8	2,180,735
1980	D	52.0%Carter1,124,584	39.6%Reagan856,574	8.4%	D+12.4	D+3.6	2,163,097
1976	D	53.4%Carter1,180,814	44.7%Ford987,498	1.9%	D+8.7	D+16.1	2,209,748
1972	R	46.0%McGovern1,063,268	53.4%Nixon1,234,307	0.6%	R+7.4	R+16.9	2,311,037
1968	D	50.6%Humphrey1,181,316	41.1%Nixon960,493	8.3%	D+9.5	R+16.9	2,336,538
1964	D	63.2%Johnson1,537,181	36.8%Goldwater895,718	0.0%	D+26.4	D+13.3	2,432,899
1960	D	56.4%Kennedy1,378,343	43.3%Nixon1,059,607	0.3%	D+13.0	D+26.9	2,445,269
1956	R	42.9%Stevenson977,821	56.8%Eisenhower1,293,223	0.3%	R+13.9	R+13.2	2,276,844
1952	R	49.5%Stevenson1,172,454	50.2%Eisenhower1,188,973	0.3%	R+0.7	R+9.6	2,367,939
1948	D	54.2%Truman1,216,636	45.2%Dewey1,015,800	0.6%	D+8.9	R+7.0	2,245,899
1944	D	57.8%Roosevelt1,275,367	41.9%Dewey924,659	0.3%	D+15.9	D+5.0	2,206,191
1940	D	55.2%Roosevelt1,168,141	44.4%Willkie938,454	0.4%	D+10.9	R+16.6	2,114,807
1936	D	62.4%Roosevelt1,253,164	34.9%Landon701,206	2.7%	D+27.5	D+13.7	2,009,457
1932	D	55.2%Roosevelt919,231	41.5%Hoover690,146	3.3%	D+13.8	D+20.0	1,664,232
1928	R	46.5%Smith716,283	52.7%Hoover812,063	0.8%	R+6.2	D+35.3	1,540,171
1924	R	20.3%Davis226,141	61.9%Coolidge688,973	17.6%La Follette196,149	R+41.6	D+7.4	1,113,652
1920	R	22.1%Cox197,499	71.1%Harding635,197	6.8%	R+49.0	R+42.4	893,137
1916	R	44.6%Wilson379,438	51.3%Hughes435,695	4.1%	R+6.6	R+19.6	849,913
1912	O	30.4%Wilson130,702	17.4%Taft74,851	52.1%	Roosevelt +21.7	D+31.7	429,312
1908	R	36.9%Bryan152,990	55.5%Taft230,400	7.6%	R+18.6	D+13.4	415,091
1904	R	26.4%Parker103,762	58.5%Roosevelt229,848	15.1%	R+32.1	R+27.7	392,945
1900	R	46.4%Bryan186,193	50.8%McKinley203,760	2.8%	R+4.4	D+14.0	401,134
1896	R	40.1%Bryan152,146	58.4%McKinley221,823	1.5%	R+18.4	R+31.1	379,608
1892	D	55.3%Cleveland144,604	42.6%Harrison111,254	2.1%	D+12.8	—	261,330
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

New York County

LatestD+64.2in 2024

Population1,629,4772024 ACS

County seatNew YorkNY

Most similarDistrict of ColumbiaDC · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+64.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 1,629,4772024 5-year
Population density: 71,783 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 22.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $103,9312024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 45.5%2024 5-year
Black: 12.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 24.4%2024 5-year
County seat: New York
Peak Democratic margin: D+76.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+30.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: District of Columbia, DC · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 55.3%666,530 participants ÷ 1,204,578 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +20.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 34.4%–39.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	673,111	1,165,063	57.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	558,711	1,169,957	47.8%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	699,428	1,186,147	59.0%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	459,549	1,208,342	38.0%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	666,530	1,204,578	55.3%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+26.8%
1896	−6.7%
1900	+8.3%
1904	+9.4%
1908	+1.5%
1912	+29.6%
1916	+9.9%
1920	−30.1%
1924	−1.6%
1928	+25.1%
1932	+39.1%
1936	+48.2%
1940	+23.9%
1944	+32.4%
1948	+18.8%
1952	+19.1%
1956	+11.5%
1960	+31.1%
1964	+61.3%
1968	+44.5%
1972	+32.9%
1976	+47.7%
1980	+36.2%
1984	+44.7%
1988	+53.3%
1992	+62.3%
1996	+66.2%
2000	+65.2%
2004	+65.3%
2008	+72.2%
2012	+68.8%
2016	+76.9%
2020	+74.5%
2024	+64.2%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	D	81.6%Harris533,782	17.4%Trump113,921	1.0%	D+64.2	R+10.3	654,372
2020	D	86.7%Biden603,040	12.3%Trump85,185	0.5%Jorgensen3,329	D+74.5	R+2.4	695,263
2016	D	86.6%Clinton579,013	9.7%Trump64,930	1.4%Stein9,441	D+76.9	D+8.0	668,940
2012	D	83.7%Obama502,674	14.9%Romney89,559	0.6%Stein3,860	D+68.8	R+3.4	600,291
2008	D	85.7%Obama572,126	13.5%McCain89,906	0.8%	D+72.2	D+6.9	667,594
2004	D	82.1%Kerry526,765	16.7%Bush107,405	1.2%	D+65.3	D+0.1	641,951
2000	D	79.6%Gore454,523	14.4%Bush82,113	5.5%Nader31,172	D+65.2	R+1.0	571,006
1996	D	80.0%Clinton394,131	13.8%Dole67,839	2.3%Perot11,144	D+66.2	D+3.9	492,899
1992	D	78.2%Clinton416,142	15.9%Bush84,501	5.2%Perot27,689	D+62.3	D+9.1	532,118
1988	D	76.1%Dukakis385,675	22.9%Bush115,927	1.0%	D+53.3	D+8.6	506,551
1984	D	72.1%Mondale379,521	27.4%Reagan144,281	0.5%	D+44.7	D+8.5	526,671
1980	D	62.4%Carter275,742	26.2%Reagan115,911	11.4%	D+36.2	R+11.5	441,898
1976	D	73.2%Carter337,438	25.5%Ford117,702	1.2%	D+47.7	D+14.8	460,838
1972	D	66.2%McGovern354,326	33.4%Nixon178,515	0.4%	D+32.9	R+11.6	534,863
1968	D	70.0%Humphrey370,806	25.6%Nixon135,458	4.4%	D+44.5	R+16.9	529,392
1964	D	80.5%Johnson503,848	19.2%Goldwater120,125	0.3%	D+61.3	D+30.2	625,719
1960	D	65.3%Kennedy414,902	34.2%Nixon217,271	0.5%	D+31.1	D+19.6	635,567
1956	D	55.7%Stevenson377,856	44.3%Eisenhower300,004	0.0%	D+11.5	R+7.7	677,860
1952	D	58.4%Stevenson446,727	39.2%Eisenhower300,284	2.4%	D+19.1	D+0.4	765,183
1948	D	51.5%Truman380,310	32.7%Dewey241,752	15.7%	D+18.8	R+13.7	738,270
1944	D	65.9%Roosevelt509,263	33.5%Dewey258,650	0.6%	D+32.4	D+8.6	772,777
1940	D	61.5%Roosevelt478,153	37.6%Willkie292,480	1.0%	D+23.9	R+24.3	778,099
1936	D	72.7%Roosevelt517,134	24.5%Landon174,299	2.8%	D+48.2	D+9.1	711,253
1932	D	66.9%Roosevelt378,077	27.8%Hoover157,014	5.3%	D+39.1	D+14.0	565,205
1928	D	60.8%Smith317,227	35.7%Hoover186,396	3.4%	D+25.1	D+26.7	521,558
1924	R	39.6%Davis183,249	41.2%Coolidge190,871	18.7%La Follette86,625	R+1.6	D+28.4	463,326
1920	R	29.1%Cox135,249	59.2%Harding275,013	11.7%	R+30.1	R+40.0	464,420
1916	D	52.5%Wilson139,547	42.6%Hughes113,254	4.8%	D+9.9	R+19.7	265,560
1912	D	47.8%Wilson166,157	18.2%Taft63,107	34.1%	D+29.6	D+28.1	347,655
1908	D	46.2%Bryan160,261	44.7%Taft154,958	9.1%	D+1.5	R+7.9	346,612
1904	D	51.5%Parker189,712	42.1%Roosevelt155,003	6.3%	D+9.4	D+1.1	368,072
1900	D	52.5%Bryan181,786	44.2%McKinley153,001	3.4%	D+8.3	D+15.0	346,487
1896	R	44.0%Bryan135,624	50.7%McKinley156,359	5.3%	R+6.7	R+33.5	308,232
1892	D	61.5%Cleveland175,267	34.7%Harrison98,967	3.8%	D+26.8	—	284,984
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

Biggest differences

Top 9 deltas, ranked by absolute magnitude.
Metric	Cook County	New York County
Population	5,182,090	1,629,477
Median household income	$83,498	$103,931
Latest presidential margin	D+41.6	D+64.2
Black	21.8%	12.5%
White (non-Hispanic)	40.1%	45.5%
Asian	7.9%	12.4%
Poverty rate (overall)	13.5%	16.5%
Hispanic / Latino	26.8%	24.4%
Median age	38.0	38.9

Cook County vs New York County

Side-by-side: the political memory, the demographic profile, and the deepest deltas between these two places.

Cook County

LatestD+41.6in 2024

Population5,182,0902024 ACS

County seatChicagoIL

Most similarAllendale CountySC · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+41.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 5,182,0902024 5-year
Population density: 5,484 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 945 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $83,4982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 40.1%2024 5-year
Black: 21.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 26.8%2024 5-year
County seat: Chicago
Peak Democratic margin: D+53.4 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+49.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Allendale County, SC · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 57.9%2,079,239 participants ÷ 3,590,883 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +25.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 32.8%–39.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	2,180,344	3,511,326	62.1%	C/A
2018 · Midterm	1,756,583	3,546,042	49.5%	C/A
2020 · Presidential	2,325,405	3,550,976	65.5%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	1,462,222	3,616,987	40.4%	C/A
2024 · Presidential	2,079,239	3,590,883	57.9%	C/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+12.8%
1896	−18.4%
1900	−4.4%
1904	−32.1%
1908	−18.6%
1912	+13.0%
1916	−6.6%
1920	−49.0%
1924	−41.6%
1928	−6.2%
1932	+13.8%
1936	+27.5%
1940	+10.9%
1944	+15.9%
1948	+8.9%
1952	−0.7%
1956	−13.9%
1960	+13.0%
1964	+26.4%
1968	+9.5%
1972	−7.4%
1976	+8.7%
1980	+12.4%
1984	+2.6%
1988	+12.4%
1992	+30.0%
1996	+40.1%
2000	+40.0%
2004	+41.1%
2008	+53.4%
2012	+49.3%
2016	+53.1%
2020	+50.2%
2024	+41.6%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	D	69.6%Harris1,447,821	28.1%Trump583,852	1.2%Kennedy25,127	D+41.6	R+8.7	2,079,239
2020	D	74.2%Biden1,725,973	24.0%Trump558,269	0.8%Jorgensen17,657	D+50.2	R+2.9	2,325,405
2016	D	73.9%Clinton1,611,946	20.8%Trump453,287	2.7%Johnson58,678	D+53.1	D+3.9	2,180,344
2012	D	73.9%Obama1,488,537	24.6%Romney495,542	0.8%JOHNSON15,845	D+49.3	R+4.1	2,014,819
2008	D	76.2%Obama1,629,024	22.8%McCain487,736	1.0%	D+53.4	D+12.3	2,137,466
2004	D	70.2%Kerry1,439,724	29.1%Bush597,405	0.6%	D+41.1	D+1.1	2,049,434
2000	D	68.6%Gore1,280,547	28.6%Bush534,542	2.3%Nader42,068	D+40.0	R+0.1	1,865,907
1996	D	66.8%Clinton1,153,289	26.7%Dole461,557	5.6%Perot96,633	D+40.1	D+10.1	1,726,666
1992	D	58.2%Clinton1,249,533	28.2%Bush605,300	13.1%Perot281,999	D+30.0	D+17.6	2,146,655
1988	D	55.8%Dukakis1,129,973	43.4%Bush878,582	0.9%	D+12.4	D+9.8	2,026,144
1984	D	51.0%Mondale1,112,641	48.4%Reagan1,055,558	0.6%	D+2.6	R+9.8	2,180,735
1980	D	52.0%Carter1,124,584	39.6%Reagan856,574	8.4%	D+12.4	D+3.6	2,163,097
1976	D	53.4%Carter1,180,814	44.7%Ford987,498	1.9%	D+8.7	D+16.1	2,209,748
1972	R	46.0%McGovern1,063,268	53.4%Nixon1,234,307	0.6%	R+7.4	R+16.9	2,311,037
1968	D	50.6%Humphrey1,181,316	41.1%Nixon960,493	8.3%	D+9.5	R+16.9	2,336,538
1964	D	63.2%Johnson1,537,181	36.8%Goldwater895,718	0.0%	D+26.4	D+13.3	2,432,899
1960	D	56.4%Kennedy1,378,343	43.3%Nixon1,059,607	0.3%	D+13.0	D+26.9	2,445,269
1956	R	42.9%Stevenson977,821	56.8%Eisenhower1,293,223	0.3%	R+13.9	R+13.2	2,276,844
1952	R	49.5%Stevenson1,172,454	50.2%Eisenhower1,188,973	0.3%	R+0.7	R+9.6	2,367,939
1948	D	54.2%Truman1,216,636	45.2%Dewey1,015,800	0.6%	D+8.9	R+7.0	2,245,899
1944	D	57.8%Roosevelt1,275,367	41.9%Dewey924,659	0.3%	D+15.9	D+5.0	2,206,191
1940	D	55.2%Roosevelt1,168,141	44.4%Willkie938,454	0.4%	D+10.9	R+16.6	2,114,807
1936	D	62.4%Roosevelt1,253,164	34.9%Landon701,206	2.7%	D+27.5	D+13.7	2,009,457
1932	D	55.2%Roosevelt919,231	41.5%Hoover690,146	3.3%	D+13.8	D+20.0	1,664,232
1928	R	46.5%Smith716,283	52.7%Hoover812,063	0.8%	R+6.2	D+35.3	1,540,171
1924	R	20.3%Davis226,141	61.9%Coolidge688,973	17.6%La Follette196,149	R+41.6	D+7.4	1,113,652
1920	R	22.1%Cox197,499	71.1%Harding635,197	6.8%	R+49.0	R+42.4	893,137
1916	R	44.6%Wilson379,438	51.3%Hughes435,695	4.1%	R+6.6	R+19.6	849,913
1912	O	30.4%Wilson130,702	17.4%Taft74,851	52.1%	Roosevelt +21.7	D+31.7	429,312
1908	R	36.9%Bryan152,990	55.5%Taft230,400	7.6%	R+18.6	D+13.4	415,091
1904	R	26.4%Parker103,762	58.5%Roosevelt229,848	15.1%	R+32.1	R+27.7	392,945
1900	R	46.4%Bryan186,193	50.8%McKinley203,760	2.8%	R+4.4	D+14.0	401,134
1896	R	40.1%Bryan152,146	58.4%McKinley221,823	1.5%	R+18.4	R+31.1	379,608
1892	D	55.3%Cleveland144,604	42.6%Harrison111,254	2.1%	D+12.8	—	261,330
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

New York County

LatestD+64.2in 2024

Population1,629,4772024 ACS

County seatNew YorkNY

Most similarDistrict of ColumbiaDC · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+64.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 1,629,4772024 5-year
Population density: 71,783 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 22.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $103,9312024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 45.5%2024 5-year
Black: 12.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 24.4%2024 5-year
County seat: New York
Peak Democratic margin: D+76.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+30.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: District of Columbia, DC · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 55.3%666,530 participants ÷ 1,204,578 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +20.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 34.4%–39.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	673,111	1,165,063	57.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	558,711	1,169,957	47.8%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	699,428	1,186,147	59.0%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	459,549	1,208,342	38.0%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	666,530	1,204,578	55.3%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+26.8%
1896	−6.7%
1900	+8.3%
1904	+9.4%
1908	+1.5%
1912	+29.6%
1916	+9.9%
1920	−30.1%
1924	−1.6%
1928	+25.1%
1932	+39.1%
1936	+48.2%
1940	+23.9%
1944	+32.4%
1948	+18.8%
1952	+19.1%
1956	+11.5%
1960	+31.1%
1964	+61.3%
1968	+44.5%
1972	+32.9%
1976	+47.7%
1980	+36.2%
1984	+44.7%
1988	+53.3%
1992	+62.3%
1996	+66.2%
2000	+65.2%
2004	+65.3%
2008	+72.2%
2012	+68.8%
2016	+76.9%
2020	+74.5%
2024	+64.2%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	D	81.6%Harris533,782	17.4%Trump113,921	1.0%	D+64.2	R+10.3	654,372
2020	D	86.7%Biden603,040	12.3%Trump85,185	0.5%Jorgensen3,329	D+74.5	R+2.4	695,263
2016	D	86.6%Clinton579,013	9.7%Trump64,930	1.4%Stein9,441	D+76.9	D+8.0	668,940
2012	D	83.7%Obama502,674	14.9%Romney89,559	0.6%Stein3,860	D+68.8	R+3.4	600,291
2008	D	85.7%Obama572,126	13.5%McCain89,906	0.8%	D+72.2	D+6.9	667,594
2004	D	82.1%Kerry526,765	16.7%Bush107,405	1.2%	D+65.3	D+0.1	641,951
2000	D	79.6%Gore454,523	14.4%Bush82,113	5.5%Nader31,172	D+65.2	R+1.0	571,006
1996	D	80.0%Clinton394,131	13.8%Dole67,839	2.3%Perot11,144	D+66.2	D+3.9	492,899
1992	D	78.2%Clinton416,142	15.9%Bush84,501	5.2%Perot27,689	D+62.3	D+9.1	532,118
1988	D	76.1%Dukakis385,675	22.9%Bush115,927	1.0%	D+53.3	D+8.6	506,551
1984	D	72.1%Mondale379,521	27.4%Reagan144,281	0.5%	D+44.7	D+8.5	526,671
1980	D	62.4%Carter275,742	26.2%Reagan115,911	11.4%	D+36.2	R+11.5	441,898
1976	D	73.2%Carter337,438	25.5%Ford117,702	1.2%	D+47.7	D+14.8	460,838
1972	D	66.2%McGovern354,326	33.4%Nixon178,515	0.4%	D+32.9	R+11.6	534,863
1968	D	70.0%Humphrey370,806	25.6%Nixon135,458	4.4%	D+44.5	R+16.9	529,392
1964	D	80.5%Johnson503,848	19.2%Goldwater120,125	0.3%	D+61.3	D+30.2	625,719
1960	D	65.3%Kennedy414,902	34.2%Nixon217,271	0.5%	D+31.1	D+19.6	635,567
1956	D	55.7%Stevenson377,856	44.3%Eisenhower300,004	0.0%	D+11.5	R+7.7	677,860
1952	D	58.4%Stevenson446,727	39.2%Eisenhower300,284	2.4%	D+19.1	D+0.4	765,183
1948	D	51.5%Truman380,310	32.7%Dewey241,752	15.7%	D+18.8	R+13.7	738,270
1944	D	65.9%Roosevelt509,263	33.5%Dewey258,650	0.6%	D+32.4	D+8.6	772,777
1940	D	61.5%Roosevelt478,153	37.6%Willkie292,480	1.0%	D+23.9	R+24.3	778,099
1936	D	72.7%Roosevelt517,134	24.5%Landon174,299	2.8%	D+48.2	D+9.1	711,253
1932	D	66.9%Roosevelt378,077	27.8%Hoover157,014	5.3%	D+39.1	D+14.0	565,205
1928	D	60.8%Smith317,227	35.7%Hoover186,396	3.4%	D+25.1	D+26.7	521,558
1924	R	39.6%Davis183,249	41.2%Coolidge190,871	18.7%La Follette86,625	R+1.6	D+28.4	463,326
1920	R	29.1%Cox135,249	59.2%Harding275,013	11.7%	R+30.1	R+40.0	464,420
1916	D	52.5%Wilson139,547	42.6%Hughes113,254	4.8%	D+9.9	R+19.7	265,560
1912	D	47.8%Wilson166,157	18.2%Taft63,107	34.1%	D+29.6	D+28.1	347,655
1908	D	46.2%Bryan160,261	44.7%Taft154,958	9.1%	D+1.5	R+7.9	346,612
1904	D	51.5%Parker189,712	42.1%Roosevelt155,003	6.3%	D+9.4	D+1.1	368,072
1900	D	52.5%Bryan181,786	44.2%McKinley153,001	3.4%	D+8.3	D+15.0	346,487
1896	R	44.0%Bryan135,624	50.7%McKinley156,359	5.3%	R+6.7	R+33.5	308,232
1892	D	61.5%Cleveland175,267	34.7%Harrison98,967	3.8%	D+26.8	—	284,984
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

Biggest differences

Top 9 deltas, ranked by absolute magnitude.
Metric	Cook County	New York County
Population	5,182,090	1,629,477
Median household income	$83,498	$103,931
Latest presidential margin	D+41.6	D+64.2
Black	21.8%	12.5%
White (non-Hispanic)	40.1%	45.5%
Asian	7.9%	12.4%
Poverty rate (overall)	13.5%	16.5%
Hispanic / Latino	26.8%	24.4%
Median age	38.0	38.9