Los Angeles County vs New York County

Side-by-side: the political memory, the demographic profile, and the deepest deltas between these two places.

Los Angeles County

LatestD+32.9in 2024

Population9,808,6672024 ACS

County seatLos AngelesCA

Most similarSanta Clara CountyCA · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+32.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 9,808,6672024 5-year
Population density: 2,416 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 4,060 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $90,1122024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 24.7%2024 5-year
Black: 7.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 48.4%2024 5-year
County seat: Los Angeles
Peak Democratic margin: D+49.3 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+58.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Santa Clara County, CA · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 59.5%3,806,684 participants ÷ 6,394,560 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +28.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +2.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 30.9%–40.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	3,551,506	6,123,488	58.0%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	3,049,460	6,272,373	48.6%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	4,263,443	6,367,652	67.0%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	2,456,701	6,410,093	38.3%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	3,806,684	6,394,560	59.5%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1876	+8.6%
1880	−1.0%
1884	−8.4%
1888	−14.6%
1892	−9.2%
1896	−2.5%
1900	−17.3%
1904	−46.0%
1908	−26.6%
1912	+33.3%
1916	−8.0%
1920	−47.5%
1924	−58.2%
1928	−41.5%
1932	+18.6%
1936	+35.4%
1940	+17.6%
1944	+14.1%
1948	+0.5%
1952	−12.6%
1956	−11.1%
1960	+0.8%
1964	+14.9%
1968	−1.6%
1972	−12.7%
1976	+1.9%
1980	−10.0%
1984	−10.1%
1988	+5.0%
1992	+23.5%
1996	+28.4%
2000	+31.1%
2004	+27.5%
2008	+40.4%
2012	+41.9%
2016	+49.3%
2020	+44.0%
2024	+32.9%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	D	64.8%Harris2,417,109	31.9%Trump1,189,862	1.2%Kennedy45,970 +4	D+32.9	R+11.0	3,728,427
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Kamala D HarrisDemocratic64.8%2,417,109 Donald J TrumpRepublican31.9%1,189,862 Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.2%45,970 Jill SteinIndependent1.1%41,159 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.6%21,429 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%12,862 OtherAll other candidates0.0%36
2020	D	70.7%Biden3,028,885	26.7%Trump1,145,530	0.8%Jorgensen35,452	D+44.0	R+5.4	4,283,945
2016	D	71.8%Clinton2,464,364	22.4%Trump769,743	2.6%Johnson88,902	D+49.3	D+7.5	3,434,308
2012	D	69.7%Obama2,216,903	27.8%Romney885,333	1.0%Johnson31,917	D+41.9	D+1.5	3,181,067
2008	D	69.2%Obama2,295,853	28.8%McCain956,425	2.0%	D+40.4	D+12.9	3,318,248
2004	D	63.1%Kerry1,907,736	35.6%Bush1,076,225	1.3%	D+27.5	R+3.6	3,023,280
2000	D	63.5%Gore1,710,505	32.4%Bush871,930	3.1%Nader83,731	D+31.1	D+2.7	2,695,154
1996	D	59.3%Clinton1,430,629	31.0%Dole746,544	6.5%Perot157,752	D+28.4	D+4.9	2,411,014
1992	D	52.5%Clinton1,446,529	29.0%Bush799,607	17.7%Perot488,624	D+23.5	D+18.5	2,753,403
1988	D	51.9%Dukakis1,372,352	46.9%Bush1,239,716	1.2%	D+5.0	D+15.2	2,644,671
1984	R	44.4%Mondale1,158,912	54.5%Reagan1,424,113	1.1%	R+10.1	R+0.1	2,612,914
1980	R	40.2%Carter979,830	50.2%Reagan1,224,533	9.7%	R+10.0	R+11.9	2,440,185
1976	D	49.7%Carter1,221,893	47.8%Ford1,174,926	2.5%	D+1.9	D+14.6	2,459,077
1972	R	42.0%McGovern1,189,977	54.8%Nixon1,549,717	3.2%	R+12.7	R+11.1	2,830,370
1968	R	46.0%Humphrey1,223,251	47.6%Nixon1,266,480	6.3%	R+1.6	R+16.5	2,657,982
1964	D	57.4%Johnson1,568,300	42.5%Goldwater1,161,067	0.1%	D+14.9	D+14.1	2,730,918
1960	D	50.2%Kennedy1,323,818	49.4%Nixon1,302,661	0.3%	D+0.8	D+11.9	2,634,499
1956	R	44.3%Stevenson1,007,887	55.4%Eisenhower1,260,206	0.3%	R+11.1	D+1.5	2,275,424
1952	R	43.2%Stevenson950,093	55.7%Eisenhower1,226,971	1.1%	R+12.6	R+13.1	2,201,212
1948	D	47.0%Truman812,690	46.5%Dewey804,232	6.5%	D+0.5	R+13.6	1,729,082
1944	D	56.8%Roosevelt886,252	42.7%Dewey666,441	0.6%	D+14.1	R+3.5	1,561,564
1940	D	58.1%Roosevelt822,718	40.6%Willkie574,266	1.3%	D+17.6	R+17.8	1,415,269
1936	D	67.0%Roosevelt757,351	31.6%Landon357,401	1.4%	D+35.4	D+16.7	1,130,415
1932	D	57.2%Roosevelt554,476	38.5%Hoover373,738	4.3%	D+18.6	D+60.2	969,594
1928	R	28.7%Smith209,945	70.2%Hoover513,526	1.1%	R+41.5	D+16.7	731,301
1924	R	7.3%Davis33,554	65.5%Coolidge299,675	25.6%La Follette117,249	R+58.2	R+10.7	457,457
1920	R	21.6%Cox55,661	69.1%Harding178,117	9.3%	R+47.5	R+39.5	257,770
1916	R	42.6%Wilson114,070	50.6%Hughes135,554	6.8%	R+8.0	R+41.4	267,921
1912	O	33.3%Wilson55,110	0.0%Taft0	66.7%	Roosevelt +33.3	D+59.9	165,296
1908	R	30.2%Bryan22,076	56.8%Taft41,483	13.0%	R+26.6	D+19.4	73,077
1904	R	20.5%Parker10,030	66.5%Roosevelt32,507	13.0%	R+46.0	R+28.6	48,883
1900	R	37.8%Bryan13,158	55.1%McKinley19,200	7.1%	R+17.3	R+14.8	34,848
1896	R	47.1%Bryan16,043	49.6%McKinley16,891	3.3%	R+2.5	D+6.8	34,042
1892	R	35.6%Cleveland8,119	44.9%Harrison10,226	19.5%	R+9.2	D+5.4	22,779
1888	R	40.0%Cleveland10,110	54.6%Harrison13,805	5.3%	R+14.6	R+6.2	25,264
1884	R	43.2%Cleveland4,683	51.7%Blaine5,595	5.1%	R+8.4	R+7.4	10,829
1880	R	46.9%Hancock2,853	47.9%Garfield2,914	5.2%	R+1.0	R+9.6	6,083
1876	D	54.2%Tilden3,615	45.6%Hayes3,041	0.2%	D+8.6	—	6,670

New York County

LatestD+64.2in 2024

Population1,629,4772024 ACS

County seatNew YorkNY

Most similarDistrict of ColumbiaDC · twin score 100.0