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The Answer to Machine Politics
How Mamdani Beat Cuomo in Working-Class NYC
In the 2025 NYC mayoral primary, a DSA socialist beat the establishment Democrat in working-class immigrant neighborhoods—the same communities trending Republican. AD-level analysis.
Peltola vs. Sullivan
The Math Behind Alaska's 2026 Senate Race
Mary Peltola ran 10 points ahead of Harris in 2024. Can she translate that crossover appeal into a Senate win against Dan Sullivan? Borough-by-borough analysis.
America's 13 Nations
How Cultural Geography Predicts the Vote
Interactive analysis of Colin Woodard's American Nations framework. Spanish Caribbean swung R+13.7, New France resisted at R+2.9. Explore the cultural maps that explain why.
Trump, the Machine Politician
A County-Level Regression Analysis
A 16-variable regression reveals Trump's 2024 coalition wasn't ideological—it was transactional. Non-English speaking % dominated with beta=-2.16, 2x stronger than any other predictor.
Akashic Edge 2026 Race Ratings
Our Inaugural Forecasts for Senate, House & Governors
Our first-ever race ratings for the 2026 cycle. No toss-ups—we lean one way or the other on every race. Unlike forecasters who hedge as elections approach, we're planting our flag early and standing by it.
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