Manassas city, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 19722024

D+14.8
2024 Margin
R+9.4%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
43K
Population

Manassas city, VA (Virginia) voted D+14.8 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 9,048 votes (56.2%) to 6,670 (41.43%) for Trump.

This represents a R+9.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Manassas city is classified as a lean Democratic county. Manassas city has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 42,976.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+14.8
2020→2024 SwingR+9.4%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record14

Demographics

Population42,976
Median Age
34.8(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
32.7%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$113,590(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
34.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
43.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
12.0%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
6.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
71.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
7.7%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
28.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
51.9%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
16.4%(Unique Concentration)
Evangelical
8.0%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.1%
Black Protestant
1.0%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
8.8%
German
8.2%
Irish
7.3%
English
7.1%
Sub-Saharan African
2.7%Above Average(2.3x)
American Heritage
2.7%
+ 5 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:34.8 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
26.9%
18-29
8.5%
30-44
22.4%
45-64
31.7%
65+
10.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
20.4%(1.7x US)
ConstructionMajor Specialization
13.7%(2.0x US)
Retail Trade
8.5%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
5.8%(0.7x US)
Manufacturing
5.5%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.0%(0.9x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202456.2%(9,048)41.4%(6,670)D+14.8R+9.4
202061.0%(10,356)36.9%(6,256)D+24.2D+8.1
201654.7%(8,423)38.6%(5,953)D+16.0D+2.8
201255.8%(8,478)42.5%(6,463)D+13.3D+1.9
200855.2%(7,518)43.9%(5,975)D+11.3D+24.5
200443.1%(5,562)56.2%(7,257)R+13.1R+1.1
200042.4%(5,262)54.4%(6,752)R+12.0D+1.0
199640.0%(4,378)52.9%(5,799)R+13.0D+3.2
199232.7%(3,647)48.9%(5,453)R+16.2D+21.9
198830.5%(2,658)68.6%(5,980)R+38.1D+5.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Manassas city, VA19722024

D+R++40+200-20-401972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202062.8%(10,547)37.1%(6,227)D+25.7R+2.4
201862.9%(8,130)34.8%(4,496)D+28.1D+26.7
201449.2%(4,004)47.8%(3,891)D+1.4R+10.5
201255.9%(8,322)44.0%(6,550)D+11.9R+17.1
200863.9%(7,624)34.9%(4,167)D+29.0D+32.5
200647.6%(4,003)51.1%(4,301)R+3.5D+79.9
20020.0%(0)83.4%(4,766)R+83.4R+69.9
200043.2%(5,233)56.7%(6,866)R+13.5D+0.2
199643.1%(4,473)56.7%(5,891)R+13.7R+2.9
199438.2%(3,151)49.0%(4,037)R+10.7D+68.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202565.4%(7,671)34.4%(4,036)D+31.0D+16.0
201756.9%(5,295)41.9%(3,899)D+15.0D+12.7
201348.7%(4,013)46.5%(3,828)D+2.2D+26.2
200938.0%(2,618)61.9%(4,266)R+23.9R+18.6
200546.2%(3,167)51.6%(3,532)R+5.3D+2.7
200145.7%(2,992)53.8%(3,520)R+8.1D+15.8
199737.4%(2,611)61.3%(4,277)R+23.9D+4.9
199335.3%(2,341)64.2%(4,250)R+28.8R+23.8
198947.4%(2,663)52.5%(2,947)R+5.1R+2.1
198548.5%(1,534)51.5%(1,626)R+2.9D+0.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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