Virginia
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 11.0% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 18.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.2% | 44.2% |
| Catholic | 10.2% | 22.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.0% | 17.6% |
| Other | 4.9% | 10.6% |
| Black Protestant | 2.0% | 4.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 54.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+5.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+10.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+5.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+3.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+6.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+8.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+8.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.4 |
Virginia has a population of 8,705,170. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+5.8. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.1% | 46.3% | D+5.8 | R+4.3 |
| 2020 | 54.1% | 44.0% | D+10.1 | D+4.8 |
| 2016 | 49.8% | 44.4% | D+5.3 | D+1.5 |
| 2012 | 51.2% | 47.3% | D+3.9 | R+2.4 |
| 2008 | 52.6% | 46.3% | D+6.3 | D+14.5 |
| 2004 | 45.5% | 53.7% | R+8.2 | R+0.2 |
| 2000 | 44.4% | 52.5% | R+8.0 | R+6.1 |
| 1996 | 45.1% | 47.1% | R+2.0 | D+2.4 |
| 1992 | 40.6% | 45.0% | R+4.4 | D+16.1 |
| 1988 | 39.2% | 59.7% | R+20.5 | D+4.7 |
| 1984 | 37.1% | 62.3% | R+25.2 | R+12.5 |
| 1980 | 40.3% | 53.0% | R+12.7 | R+11.4 |
| 1976 | 48.0% | 49.3% | R+1.3 | D+36.5 |
| 1972 | 30.1% | 67.9% | R+37.9 | R+27.0 |
| 1968 | 32.5% | 43.4% | R+10.9 | R+18.2 |
| 1964 | 53.5% | 46.2% | D+7.4 | D+12.8 |
| 1960 | 47.0% | 52.4% | R+5.5 | D+11.5 |
| 1956 | 38.3% | 55.4% | R+17.0 | R+4.0 |
| 1952 | 43.3% | 56.3% | R+13.0 | R+19.9 |
| 1948 | 47.9% | 41.0% | D+6.8 | — |
What defines Virginia?
Virginia has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
County-Level Results
Ask the Historian
Explore detailed election trends with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
- College attainment is 42% — 9pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally