Muslim
2024 ecological estimate
Modeled margin trajectory
Strongest places
Where this group lives the densest.
The single state, county, and media market with the highest share of population. The bar underneath shows how concentrated each place is against the U.S. baseline.
Modeled margin over time
Trajectory by election year
Each bar shows the modeled county-weighted margin and its variant range across county / state / region aggregations where available.
How this was modeled
High confidenceMeasurement
Share of total population identifying with this tradition (2020 Religion Census).
Political model
Multi-scale ecological average (county + state + region), weighted by total votes × group share.
Trust and evidence scope
Release status, source chain, and modeling boundaries.
Every dossier declares what is published, where the data comes from, and where modeled geography stops short of observed individual behavior.
Release status
PUBLISHED
Search-indexed public release in the current dossier set.
Political basis
Latest 2024
Latest modeled series: 2024 D+25.0, high.
Source chain
- Footprint source: U.S. Religion Census 2020 adherent counts paired with Akashic population baselines.
- Politics source: religion_vote_shares_msoa when a stable modeled series is available.
- Interpretation: modeled geography where shown, not direct observation of individual behavior.
National benchmark
The U.S. baseline every ranking is measured against.
These are the base U.S. measures used for over-indexing and geography rankings across the dossier.
Share of population
<0.1%
Pop × U.S. baseline: —
Share of adherents
<0.1%
Adh × U.S. baseline: —
Availability
Nation, state, county, metro, DMA
Metro and DMA rankings are live. Future tabs stay hidden until dedicated rollups are ready.
Explorer handoff
Open the map-first explorer.
The embedded workbench keeps the map, rankings, and dossier context aligned while preserving the same explorer workflow used across place-first analysis.
Map the footprint directly inside the dossier.
Use the same layer contract as the main explorer to inspect muslim across states, counties, metros, and media markets without leaving the dossier.
| Rank | Place | Value | Pres. context |
|---|
Use the dossier’s strongest places and modeled geography context as a starting point for a deeper analysis.
Top states
The states with the highest concentration.
Population-ranked state concentrations for the public dossier view.
| # | Geography | Share of population | Adherents | Pop × U.S. | Adh × U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Alabama | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Arkansas | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Arizona | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| California | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Colorado | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Connecticut | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| District of Columbia | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Delaware | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Florida | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — |
Top counties
County leaders ordered by share of population.
County concentrations ordered by share of population, with adherent share paired where available.
| # | Geography | Share of population | Adherents | Pop × U.S. | Adh × U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbeville, SC | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Acadia, LA | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Accomack, VA | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Ada, ID | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adair, MO | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adair, IA | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adair, KY | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adair, OK | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, IA | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, IN | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, WA | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, PA | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, ID | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, OH | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, IL | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, NE | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, WI | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, MS | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, CO | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Adams, ND | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Addison, VT | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Aiken, SC | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Aitkin, MN | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Alachua, FL | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Alamance, NC | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — |
Top media markets
Highest-concentration DMAs.
DMA rankings extend the dossier beyond counties while preserving the same measurement grammar.
| # | Geography | Share of population | Adherents | Pop × U.S. | Adh × U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene-Sweetwater | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Albany, GA | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Albany-Schenectady-Troy | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Albuquerque-Santa Fe | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Alexandria, LA | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Alpena | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Amarillo | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Anchorage | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Atlanta | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Augusta-Aiken | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Austin | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Bakersfield | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Baltimore | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Bangor | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — | |
| Baton Rouge | <0.1% | <0.1% | — | — |
Full ranked explorer
Search the entire geography set.
Open the full geography table with the same measurement rules and public dossier hierarchy preserved.
Full geography explorer
50+ ranked geographies
Unlock searchable state, county, metro, and DMA rankings for this group.
Unlock with Pro$33/moResiduals
Over-indexed but politically unusual.
High-footprint counties where the 2024 presidential margin diverges most from this group's latest published national modeled pattern.
| County | Footprint | 2024 actual | Modeled | Residual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borden, TX | <0.1% | R+91.5 | D+25.0 | R+116.5 |
| Arthur, NE | <0.1% | R+87.6 | D+25.0 | R+112.6 |
| Armstrong, TX | <0.1% | R+85.8 | D+25.0 | R+110.8 |
| Beaver, OK | <0.1% | R+83.8 | D+25.0 | R+108.8 |
| Banner, NE | <0.1% | R+81.3 | D+25.0 | R+106.3 |
| Blount, AL | <0.1% | R+80.9 | D+25.0 | R+105.9 |
| Archer, TX | <0.1% | R+79.3 | D+25.0 | R+104.3 |
| Banks, GA | <0.1% | R+78.2 | D+25.0 | R+103.2 |
| Bear Lake, ID | <0.1% | R+77.3 | D+25.0 | R+102.3 |
| Baylor, TX | <0.1% | R+76.8 | D+25.0 | R+101.8 |
| Alfalfa, OK | <0.1% | R+76.6 | D+25.0 | R+101.6 |
| Antelope, NE | <0.1% | R+76.5 | D+25.0 | R+101.5 |
Full politics table
Every election year with method detail.
Includes all modeled years, CI bounds, and the model version responsible for each row.
Full politics detail
Unlock the full election-year table, CI bounds, method labels, and model metadata.
Unlock with Pro$33/moWhere Muslim concentrates most
Method and export
Methodology and exports.
Public notes on source tables, measurement scope, modeling boundaries, and exportability.
- 01
Religion footprint metrics use U.S. Religion Census 2020 adherent counts and Akashic population baselines.
- 02
Each table labels both share of total population and share of religious adherents where both are derivable.
- 03
State and national religion summaries aggregate county-level adherent counts instead of interpolating percentages.
- 04
Political timelines use the religion MSOA model and suppress entirely when no modeled series exists.