Adair County, MO

MO · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+33.4
2024 Margin
R+7.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
25K
Population

Adair County, MO (Missouri) voted R+33.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 6,771 votes (65.8%) to 3,334 (32.4%) for Harris.

This represents a R+7.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Adair County is classified as a deep Republican county. Adair County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 25,301.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+33.4
2020→2024 SwingR+7.2%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population25,301
Median Age
30.2(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
35.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$61,536(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.0%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.9%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
61.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
22.0%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
22.6%
Mainline Protestant
9.3%(Above Average)
Catholic
5.1%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
3.3%(Above Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
19.9%Above Average(1.6x)
English
13.3%(1.5x)
Irish
11.2%(1.2x)
American Heritage
6.4%
Sub-Saharan African
3.6%Significant Hub(3.0x)
Mexican
1.9%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:30.2 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
18.7%
18-29
25.4%
30-44
15.1%
45-64
25.4%
65+
15.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
11.6%
Educational Services
11.0%(1.3x US)
Manufacturing
9.7%
Construction
5.9%(0.9x US)
Professional & Technical
5.7%(0.5x US)
Agriculture & ForestryMajor Specialization
4.2%(2.5x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.4%(3,334)65.8%(6,771)R+33.4R+7.2
202035.9%(3,710)62.0%(6,413)R+26.2R+1.4
201634.2%(3,500)59.0%(6,030)R+24.7R+10.6
201241.7%(4,219)55.8%(5,651)R+14.1R+12.8
200848.3%(5,735)49.6%(5,891)R+1.3D+11.2
200443.3%(4,938)55.8%(6,367)R+12.5D+5.9
200038.9%(4,101)57.3%(6,050)R+18.5R+16.4
199642.7%(4,441)44.8%(4,656)R+2.1R+2.9
199239.8%(4,232)38.9%(4,141)D+0.9D+23.9
198838.3%(3,571)61.3%(5,721)R+23.0D+11.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Adair County, MO18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.5%(3,307)64.8%(6,589)R+32.3R+3.7
202235.7%(2,447)64.3%(4,407)R+28.6R+12.0
201840.2%(3,494)56.8%(4,939)R+16.6R+2.8
201641.2%(4,198)54.9%(5,603)R+13.8R+28.1
201254.5%(5,457)40.1%(4,018)D+14.4D+35.3
201037.8%(2,872)58.8%(4,464)R+21.0R+13.0
200644.8%(3,651)52.8%(4,297)R+7.9D+27.2
200431.8%(3,561)67.0%(7,497)R+35.2R+26.0
200244.5%(3,455)53.7%(4,165)R+9.2R+2.6
200046.0%(4,762)52.6%(5,439)R+6.5D+8.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202428.9%(2,918)68.9%(6,967)R+40.0R+10.5
202034.4%(3,546)63.9%(6,597)R+29.6R+13.7
201640.6%(4,145)56.5%(5,762)R+15.9R+20.0
201250.6%(5,066)46.5%(4,656)D+4.1D+2.4
200849.7%(5,771)48.0%(5,575)D+1.7D+27.7
200436.4%(4,094)62.4%(7,019)R+26.0R+15.8
200043.7%(4,473)53.9%(5,518)R+10.2R+39.5
199663.4%(6,501)34.2%(3,503)D+29.2D+23.9
199252.7%(5,489)47.3%(4,931)D+5.4D+59.1
198822.6%(2,099)76.3%(7,099)R+53.8R+27.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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